Sitrep Operation Z: Back into The Grind while the penny drops in Europe
For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff
Sitrep Operation Z: Back into The Grind while the penny drops in Europe
Weapons incoming
Russia has struck a major artery for the shipment of NATO weapons from Europe via the Beskidy railway tunnel. The Beskidy Tunnel is a railway tunnel under the Volovets Pass in the Carpathian Mountains. Confirmed by Ukraine itself.
Lviv: High-precision missiles hit the Beskidy railway tunnel in the Carpathian MountainsKalibr missile destroys Beskydy Railway Tunnel as major route of NATO weapons!!
1. Lviv regional governor Maksym Kozytskyy said five people were wounded in the strike, adding that more information would be available Thursday. Anton Gerashchenko, an adviser to the country’s interior minister, said the Russians hit the Beskidy railway tunnel in the Carpathian Mountains in an apparent effort to cut a key railway link and disrupt shipments of weapons and fuel. However, the head of Ukrainian railways said the damage to the railroad was still being assessed but the tunnel was spared. 2. The Russian Aerospace Forces launched a strike with high-precision missiles at the strategically important Beksidy railway tunnel. This is the only tunnel in the Carpathians through which up to 60% of cargo transit to Ukraine from Western and Central Europe passes. Missiles were launched through the tunnel on June 1 from ships of the Black Sea Fleet. The Beksidy Tunnel is the largest tunnel built in Ukraine since 1991. Laid in the Carpathian mountains. Length - 2 kilometers. It is part of the Lviv railway and is located between the Beskid station (Lviv region, Prykarpattya) and the Skotarskoye station (Transcarpathian region). The tunnel is part of the 5th pan-European transport corridor (Italy - Slovenia - Hungary - Slovakia - Ukraine - Russia). |
In additional reports
- High-precision long-range air-based missiles of the Russian Aerospace Forces have destroyed industrial buildings of the smithy-mechanical plant on the outskirts of Lozovaya (Kharkov Region), where AFU armoured vehicles were being rebuilt and repaired.
- The consequences of the arrival at the Darnitsa car repair plant, which was converted for the repair of equipment and the preparation of Polish tanks for shipment to the front https://t.me/intelslava/30873 (See it on Telegram)
- Russian Mod states that an An-26 military transport aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force carrying weapons and military equipment was shot down in the Odessa region.
https://t.me/EurasianChoice/14753
- The stream of weapons that is being sent into the Ukraine, is not even a replacement of what they had and it gets destroyed as fast as possible.
- The signs are there: Ukraine is now an orphan. Nobody wants it any longer. Yet, nobody is calling a ceasefire or peace. The opportunity for the west to snatch victory on any axis at all, is fast disappearing.
- Today, for the detail, we look at the Military Summary Channel, Readovka news as of the end of the 5th of June, and the Russian Mod Briefing of early morning on the 6th.
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https://rumble.com/v162oko-ukraine.-military-summary-and-analysis-25.05.2022.html
https://readovka.news/
You may see how fast the information changed over the previous two days, how territories changed hands, and how mapmakers and reporters could not keep up.
Here is a short-form video: https://t.me/militarysummary/552
And here is some additional description of what happened around the Severodonetsk / Lysychansk area but kindly check the detail thoroughly for over and under statements:
colonelcassad - June 5, 23:26
Severodonetsk. 06/05/2022
1. Fighting continues in the area of the industrial zone of the Azot plant. The enemy also maintains communication with Lisichansk through one of the damaged bridges - heavy equipment passes there with great difficulty, but vehicles pass.
2. The transfer of reinforcements from Lysichansk to Severodonetsk, after the Armed Forces surrendered almost the entire city, made it possible to stay in the Azot area and start fighting in the adjacent residential area, while the Ukrainian sources themselves admit that there is no ambition to recapture Severodonetsk.
The fighting will accordingly continue in the industrial area, and part of Severodonetsk will soon turn into an analogue of Mariupol in terms of the destruction of high-rise buildings and other residential buildings, taking into account the active work of the artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Severodonetsk.
3. It is unlikely that the command of the RF Armed Forces planned to storm Lisichansk head-on after taking the industrial zone of Severodonetsk. The real assault on Lisichansk will begin when they break through the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Privolye and Ustinovka, advancing to the outskirts of the city, regardless of what will happen in the industrial complex.
4. Of key importance for all these battles is the struggle for the Artemovsk-Lysichansk highway, since control over it devalues any efforts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to hold Lisichansk and Severodonetsk, unless, of course, there is a plan to sacrifice the entire grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as all foreign mercenaries who were abandoned to hold the Azot industrial zone.
5. So far, the RF Armed Forces have ensured complete fire control over the route, which has already affected the supply of Severodonetsk and Lisichansk. But there is no complete block on the highway yet, so individual vehicles and groups are still passing, but full-fledged supply, which was possible back in the first half of May, can no longer be ensured, despite all efforts to push the RF Armed Forces away from the area of Belogorovka and Berestovoye. The current task of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in this direction is to grind the enemy's reserves in oncoming battles and cross the Artemovsk-Lysichansk highway.
6. Naturally, the activity of the RF Armed Forces in the direction of Seversk is also expected, since taking under fire control (which is not yet available) the Artemovsk-Seversk-Lysichansk highway will lead to the notorious operational encirclement of the Severodonetsk grouping, which will simply lose the ability to supply through Artemovsk, and any retreat will be associated with serious losses.
7. Therefore, in the near future, on the one hand, we will observe positional battles in the area of the Severodonetsk industrial zone and high-intensity battles north of Soledar.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin - broadcast of hostilities in Ukraine as usual in telegrams
Readovka – evening of June 5 – frontlines
- In the Kharkiv direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a counteroffensive on the positions of the Russian Armed Forces to the north. Fighting has been going on in Tsupovka since yesterday. On the eastern flank there are battles in the area of Ternovaya and near Stary Saltov;
- Severodonetsk-Lisichansk-Zolotoe heavy fighting continues. Ukrainian units were forced to retreat immediately 20 kilometers to the rear, in the area of the village of Nagornoye.
- There are fights for Vrubovka;
- Kamyshevakha is under the control of the Russian and LPR troops. The fighting was heavy, but now the enemy has been driven out of the village;
- Artemivsk (Bakhmut). The fight for the Artemivsk-Lisichansk highway is of key importance for all these battles. If the initiative is successfully seized on this transport artery, a huge group of Ukrainian troops and foreign mercenaries will actually be left without supplies in Lysychansk and Severodonetsk.;
- The southern Front today was not marked by fierce battles and the advance of troops-there are sluggish positional battles.
- Calibration. In the Kiev region, six strikes were carried out. Some of them are related to infrastructure facilities in Darnytskyi, Dnipro and Brovary districts of the capital. The leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine decided to place T-72 and other military equipment.
- In the Mykolaiv region, the Russian Armed Forces inflicted at least five strikes. Strong explosions thundered about five in the morning in Nikolaev and Ochakov. One “calibration” was recorded in Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. In the Kharkiv region, strikes were carried out at the Korotich airfield, where MiG-29 aircraft were transferred according to intelligence data.
- Ukrainian militants continue their massive shelling of Donetsk. As a result of a strike by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the Chelyuskintsev mine was destroyed. MLRS shells were observed arriving in the Vostochny microdistrict in Makeyevka. Kremennaya also suffered from the Ukrainian militants-about 30 mines of 120-mm caliber were fired.
The latest Russian Mod Briefing is here:
⚡️Briefing by Russian Defence Ministry
▫️The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation in Ukraine.
????High-precision long-range air-based missiles of the Russian Aerospace Forces have destroyed industrial buildings of the smithy-mechanical plant on the outskirts of Lozovaya (Kharkov Region), where the AFU armoured vehicles were being rebuilt and repaired.
????High-precision air-based missiles have hit 4 AFU command posts as well as 15 areas of Ukrainian manpower and military equipment concentration.
✈️????Operational-tactical and army aviation have hit 73 areas of AFU manpower and military equipment concentration.
▫️The attacks have resulted in the elimination of more than 150 nationalists, 3 missile-artillery depots and 1 fuel depot near Kodem (Donetsk People's Republic), 8 tanks and armoured vehicles, 1 Grad multiple rocket launcher, 1 field artillery battery, 10 special vehicles, and 1 US-made counter-battery radar station (AN/TPQ-50) near Seversk (Donetsk People's Republic).
????Russian air defence assets have shot down 1 Su-29 aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force near Slavyansk (Donetsk People's Republic). Also, 13 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles have been shot down near Yasinovataya, Stavka (Donetsk People's Republic), Volcheyarovka, Boroven'ka (Lugansk People's Republic), Balakleya, Glubokoe, Verbovka, Liptsy, Mikhailovka (Kharkov Region) and Tokmak (Zaporozhye Region).
????Missile troops and artillery have hit 431 areas of manpower and military equipment concentration, and 34 firing positions of artillery and mortar units.
The attacks have resulted in the elimination of more than 300 nationalists, 10 tanks, 2 Grad multiple rocket launchers, 17 special vehicles, 17 field artillery mounts and mortars, as well as 3 AFU misille-artillery weponas depots near Gorlovka.
????In total, 190 Ukrainian aircraft and 129 helicopters, 1,127 unmanned aerial vehicles, 330 anti-aircraft missile systems, 3,424 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 473 multiple launch rocket systems, 1,795 field artillery and mortars, as well as 3,446 units of special military vehicles were destroyed during the operation.
Human Interest
- And a day ago, Russian General Kutuzov was killed in the battles. He personally led his unit into battle. During his service, Roman Vladimirovich was awarded the Orders of Kutuzov, Courage, “For Military Merit”, Honor, as well as the medal “For Courage”.
- Today, in the area of Severodonetsk, Russians killed the battalion commander of the 24th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. (Clearly payback judging by the wide distribution of the news).
- A Serviceman of the DPR army Viktor was seriously injured while in Ukrainian captivity. The APU literally slashed the head, neck and chest of the prisoner of war with a bayonet knife. He miraculously survived and now a marine from the 36th Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Dmitry Evgan, is a captive of the Russian military.
A major fire broke out at an Orthodox monastery located near the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) town of Svyatogorsk on Saturday. The area is controlled by the Ukrainian military and intense fighting has been reported from the area over the past few days.- Footage from the scene circulating shows the Skete of All Saints engulfed in flames. The sprawling wooden structure was constructed in the late 2000s at the site of the former All Saints Church, which had been destroyed during the Soviet era. Who dun it? Both sides are blaming the other.
Wider World
- Rally in Rome – raising the issue of Italy’s withdrawal from NATO.
- Israel – local residents remove Ukrainian flags, returning Israeli ones to their place. (While we note this, we also have to express abhorrence against the latest killings of journalists and the grabbing of more territories by the Israelis).
- Erdogan states that EU members and other European countries are in a state of “panic” over the influx of refugees from Ukraine.
- Chinese Ambassador to Russia Zhang Hanhui: We must put an end once and for all to the hegemony of the United States, with its eternal desire to interfere in the affairs of sovereign states
- Medvedev: Russia’s achievement of the goals of the special operation in Ukraine should lead to the creation of a new non US centric system of international security.
- Russia Could Soon ‘Break’ Ukraine’s Defenses – Spiegel: Russian troops could soon wrest the remainder of the Donbass region from Ukraine’s forces, Germany’s foreign intelligence agency, the BND, has warned. (Spiegel)
- An interesting report on why Germany will not supply tanks to the Ukraine. Generally someone has remembered some history and they say they cannot again have German tanks on Russian territory: https://www.rt.com/news/556670-germany-tank-ukraine-scholz/
- Our general expectation and still forming at the Saker Blog, is that we are going to see very huge changes in Europe first. The expectation of Gonzalo Lira, that there already may be different blocs trying to negotiate with Russia, and seriously trying to get out of the tentacles of Uncle $cam, has relevance.
- It is then also necessary to note the serious games of provocation being played in the South China and East China Seas. PLA aircraft deal with Canadian, Australian provocative close-in recon in East and South China Seas https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202206/1267316.shtml
Enjoy your discussion.
SELECT COMMENTARY
Obviously it takes a lot of ordinance to clobber a mountain. I suspect that to destroy a tunnel through a mountain you attack the entrance where it is most vulnerable. The blast wave would probably follow the tunnel, wreaking havoc with rails and power/signaling along the way. Doesn’t that seem more appropriate? Anyone with experience in this sort of thing want to comment?
on June 06, 2022 · at 11:43 am EST/EDT
Sounds like a job for a cruise missile. Actually, send in several. First goes 3/4 way and blows up. Next goes 1/2. Next goes 1/4. That should take a while to dig out.
on June 06, 2022 · at 11:02 am EST/EDT
Rumor is whatever went in there, went in by the tunnel entrance.
Iskanders could greatly damage and close it for long stretches at a time, and force them to constantly work and spend on repairing it, and in constant danger from more missile attacks..i think since 60% of Ukraines total freight traffic to and from Europe goes through it, this attack may have been intended as a threat..If so, I suggest the time for threats is over.
“Our general expectation and still forming at the Saker Blog, is that we are going to see very huge changes in Europe first.”
To my utmost annoyance I still can’t tell what angle Macron (our french president) is working on. On one hand he’s been constantly in contact with Putin, had pled against russophobia and discouraged our corporations from leaving Russia, on the other hand he’s constantly supporting van der Leyen nonsense and his ministers have been babbling anti-russian propaganda. Same for our medias, they’re getting more and more divided on the conflict. France is living in a state of schizophrenia.
RT has made mildly positive statements regarding Macron’s diplomacy recently, so I assume he discussed with Putin about backstabbing the anglosphere somehow (he gained a reputation has a banker to doublecross his partners), but all that scheming is nervewrecking to the casual observer.
Even so, if we can’t get ride of Borrell and van der Leyen, Europe will still be stuck with a basket of nutcases.
France is celebrating the EU at this moment, and all the propaganda plastered in public places induces severe teeth grinding.
Still when you have 3 or more bosses, Rothschild, EU Parliaments and the veto from America, then it’s little wonder France/Others are living in a state of acute schizophrenia.
Macron is not working on any angle whatsoever in my opinion. He pretends to listen to the Russians, but this is just insincerity. He has talked about being Jupiter, the chief deity in France, but in reality he is an errand boy who waits for instructions from the anglosphere. One must not be deceived.
Medvedev: Russia’s achievement of the goals of the special operation in Ukraine should lead to the creation of a new non US centric system of international security.
The PLA knows "how to send messages” Minister of Defense Richard Marles said the Chinese aircraft flew very close in front of the Australian jet and released a “bundle of chaff” containing small pieces of aluminum that were ingested into the Australian aircraft’s engine. “
“An interesting report on why Germany will not supply tanks to the Ukraine. Generally someone has remembered some history and they say they cannot again have German tanks on Russian territory: ”
on June 06, 2022 · at 10:30 am EST/EDT
Related to the video.
Can somebody answer this:
It is unclear why Russia doesn’t use aerial bombing with heavy bombers to attack Ukr. forces on open terrain, like near Doglinka. Ukr. forces are in the trenches and in the forest and their positions are known.
Outrageous action by Bulgaria, North Macedonia, and Montenegro. But the answer is totally plain what needs to be done. Recall the Russian Ambassadors from those states and break diplomatic relations. Let’s be frank here, those three tiny mice are a drain on Russian foreign ministry expenses anyway. There isn’t any really good reason to have an Embassy in those states. They made their beds with NATO, so it’s time to make them lay in them. The Russian Embassy in Serbia could handle any matters that come up involving those states. So just save the expense and show them how unimportant they are to Russia. If their populations ever decide to stop their subversive to their US master. Then things could change.But until then dealing with them isn’t even worthwhile :
Russian FM reacts to being barred from foreign visit
https://www.rt.com/russia/556686-lavrov-serbia-nato-bulgaria/
I think that Serbian President A. Vucic secretly asked NATO to prevent Lavrov coming to Serbia.
That is in the best interest of the Serbian ruling party as they are definitely pro-NATO and against Russia, but they can conceal it more easily in this way.
How do you get the Ukie’s to stop shelling Donbass cities?
https://www.rt.com/russia/556689-donetsk-under-massive-rocket-fire/
1.The most obvious is for Russia to “whisper” in the ears of the Ukrainians. That they really will bomb their command centers in Kiev and Lvov if they shell one more time. And when they do shell again, as I’m sure they will. Then follow through and bomb one center into just rubble as a demonstration. And bomb another each time Donbass is shelled.
2. Since Russia has recognized the DNR and LNR as independent republics. They should officially declare war on Ukraine. That would mean under the laws of war they would also need to be represented in any peace talks. And they would be free to un-recognize the Kiev regime as the legitimate government of Ukraine. Freeing them to legally charge and put on trial the Kiev regime officials. And also to declare that the Ukrainian forces on their territory are to be considered terrorists. And would be accorded the same rights,or lack of them,that terrorists receive. As I recall the Kiev regime considers the LDNR governments as terrorists. So turn around is called for here. The LDNR should officially call on the people of Ukraine to rebel against their criminal regime. And start a military force made up of Ukrainian volunteers to form a new Ukrainian Army of Liberation. There is no reason to write a new playbook here. That is exactly what the Soviets did in WW2 in several countries they were liberating. Just dust off that playbook and get to work.
That’s what the Berlin newspaper TAGESSPIEGEL says
Have the Ukrainians lured the Russian troops into a trap?
Heavy fighting has been raging for weeks around the once 100,000-inhabitant town of Sjewjerodonezk in the Donbass. Ukraine succeeds in a surprising counter-offensive.
Militarily, the Ukrainians may have taken the Russian troops by surprise once again. They seem to have lured Moscow’s army into a trap in the heavily contested city of Sjewjerodonezk. Numerous recent reports on the social networks speak for this.
As is so often the case in this war, they cannot be independently verified.
What is certain as of Saturday afternoon is that the Ukrainian army is carrying out a very surprising and so far successful counter-offensive in the city in the Donbass. If one believes the numerous reports, which are said to be based on sources on the ground, the Ukrainians had previously feigned a retreat. Russian troops then advanced to the centre, occupying about two-thirds of the city’s territory. However, this probably happened without the appropriate cover and equipment, which made the troops vulnerable.
As could be seen in videos posted on social media on Saturday, fresh Ukrainian troops are now said to be in the city. Among them a brigade of foreign fighters and paramilitary units. This is surprising, as the supply routes into the city had been reduced to a highway heading west in the past week. And that too was under constant Russian artillery fire.
The battle for Sjewjerodonezk is considered to have been particularly bloody and full of casualties.
However, the Ukrainians have already proved in Mariupol that they can maintain supply routes even in almost hopeless situations. There, the fighters in the Asovstal steelworks were supplied by helicopter. Fresh troops were also brought in. Only when this supply line was discovered by pro-Russian fighters did the Ukrainians have to stop the flights.
In its daily briefing on the situation in Ukraine on Saturday, the British intelligence service assumes that mainly poorly equipped pro-Russian militias are in action in Sjewjerodonezk. They would be sent forward in order to spare the actual Russian troops in the fighting, which is causing many casualties.
Hardly any experts had recently considered it possible that Ukraine would be able to hold the city. British intelligence recently assumed that Russia would conquer the entire Luhansk region within the next two weeks. With the Ukrainians’ counter-offensive, however, that could take a little longer.
By contrast, the newspaper EFSYN, published by its own staff, is striving for a more realistic portrayal
Battle thriller in Severontonetsk
Paramilitaries of the fascist battalion “Right Sector”, reinforced by heavily armed foreign mercenaries, took the Russian forces by surprise, who went on the counterattack and eventually occupied the city. ● Heavy losses for the Ukrainians. ● The Russians are destroying warehouses with Western weapons.
… Let’s start with everyone’s greatest thriller, the Ukrainians’ hopeless “punitive operation” in the three-sided Severontonetsk encircled by three sides.
Seeing that they were losing forever their last stronghold in the province of Lugansk, the Ukrainian paramilitaries of the fascist “Right Sector” battalion, who had been stranded in the industrial zone of Severontonetsk and especially in the chemical factory Azot, proceeded on Friday night to a militarily inexplicable counterattack towards the already Russian-occupied center of the city, reinforced by a group of a few dozen heavily armed foreign mercenaries – consisting mainly of fanatical anti-Russian Georgians, but also French, British and Australian volunteers.
This motley “commando” did indeed temporarily surprise the Russian-speaking militiamen and Chechen fighters operating there, recovering and turning several inhabited districts into battlefields. Thus, in combination with the accurate – thanks to live satellite information from the US – artillery firings from the outskirts of the city, it caused significant losses not only to the fighters, but mainly to the Russian-speaking civilians of Severontonetsk, “punishing them” – according to posts in the Ukrainian social media – for the audacity they showed by welcoming the liberators warmly and publicly, for them, their compatriots.
However, after the first shock, Russians and Chechens counterattacked with cover of aircraft, helicopters and a fierce barrage of artillery, and on Sunday night the Russian Staff announced the final capture of Severontonetsk, as it appears that their last stronghold at Azot was abandoned, with the few Ukrainian survivors retreating to the also surrounded by three sides Lisitsansk, leaving behind dead, wounded and all their heavy weaponry.
In dire straits
The losses of the Ukrainian and foreign volunteers, however, seem to be very heavy, as the Russian ULA mentions hundreds of dead and the destruction of up to 90% of the Ukrainian armed formations (parts of the elite 79th Airborne Brigade, two battalions of conscripts of the 111th Territorial Defence Brigade and of course the neo-Nazi paramilitaries mentioned above) that were still operating in the city.
And of course, the concentration of thousands of Ukrainians in Lisicsansk is far from protecting them, since even a simple glance at the map shows how dire their position is and how much more difficult it becomes from hour to hour for a possible retreat to the second heavily fortified line of defense, namely the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk axis.
Russian pyrotechnicians are said to have already entered the Azot factory, where Ukrainians have reportedly explosively trapped huge tanks containing nitrate and nitric acid, following the “scorched earth” policy they have already demonstrated by blowing up factories and dams and destroying entire towns and villages in other areas of Donbass as well.
Perhaps the worst crime of the last 24 hours, at least from a historical and religious point of view, is the arson of the famous wooden Church of All Saints at the Monastery of Agia Lavra in Svyatogorsk, one of the holiest places for Russian Orthodoxy, west of the newly occupied by the Russian city of Liman: the two sides, as usual, are accused of each other, but it is certain that no Russian would ever set fire to his own church, nor would he murder (at least) four monks. Besides, the temple has been burned before, by the original Nazis, during the previous battle for the liberation of Donbass, after the battle of Kursk in 1943…
As in Lisitsansk, in Sviatogorsk things are not at all good for the Ukrainians, as the Russians have reached the outskirts and have already occupied the suburb of Yarovaya in the north, advancing from three directions.
The bridges on the river have already been blown up and the only way left to the defenders of Sviatogorsk is to escape by swimming (!) to Slavyansk, the headquarters of the Ukrainian army in Donbass, where everyone is preparing for the “mother of battles”, which will apparently begin within the next 24 hours.
All the more so since we have now entered June, temperatures are rising and with them the level of the hitherto impassable Severski Donets River is falling, allowing it to be much easier for the attackers to pass through without the heavy losses that have marked previous attempts.
On the brink of collapse seems to be yet another stronghold of the Ukrainians south of Lisicansk, in Zolote, but also one of the keys of the Ukrainian defense on the southern wall of the “cauldron”, in Avdiivka, where the bombing of the Russians is very intense, as it is the point from which the great Russian-speaking city of Donetsk has been systematically bombed – not only this year, but for eight years now –: In fact, the Ukrainians of Avdiivka again bombed the centre of Donetsk with Grad rockets on Saturday night, killing at least five civilians…
https://www.efsyn.gr/kosmos/eyropi/347004_mahes-thriler-sto-seberontonetsk
Some like it hot.
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