A DISSENTING PERSPECTIVE: Ethiopia Peace Deal is Cover for Western Destruction of a Strong, Independent African State

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Finian Cunningham
OPEDS

Editor's Note—
A PLEA I WISH I DIDN'T HAVE TO MAKE

The complicated political situation in Ethiopia, always a key African nation, is causing something of a deplorable rift among the tiny Western left. We need to avoid this at all costs.

 
Genuine, well formulated anti-imperialists are scarce in the Anglo world, more so in the US, where they have been systematically persecuted and banished from practically all mainstream channels, where the masses remain deeply infiltrated and indoctrinated, and where only the Internet has given them a few platforms to express their ideas.

As most of our readers know, since the end of WW2 and the death of FDR, the real left has been pitifully small in the US. The Cold War and the anti-communist hysteria inaugurated by Churchill and Truman in the late 1940s sought to criminalise participation in left politics, and roll back the gains socialists and communists had made throughout the West during the Great Depression, and during the war itself, especially in institutions of working class self-defence, such as unions. The capitalist reactionaries also made sure that academia, the arts, and above all, the media, were purged of cogent anti-capitalist voices. Long decades have passed but the situation has not improved much for the real left, and the world has paid for such absence with numerous tragedies, the Ukraine War but the latest example.

The list of Western capitalism's crimes, betrayals, and grotesque deficiencies is long and need not be repeated here. Suffice it to say that in what passes for democracy in the US and much of the bourgeois world, something had to be created to fill the void of a true oppositional force, and it is here that the US, alarmingly good at manufacturing pseudo-reality, has given rise to a veritable industry of fake leftism. That's why, absurd as it is, in the US the public has been conditioned to believe that in a fake "two party system", the Democrats—and liberals in general—represent a left alternative. The devious right and the paranoid Yahoo right have fortified this political labeling imposture by calling dedicated servants of the Empire and Wall Street like Barack Obama a "communist", and his deeply flawed, onetime Republican healthcare scam, "Obamacare", some sort of commie plot. More recently, the rise of an openly fascistoid, deeply hypocritical Woke imperialism in the age of Clinton, Obama and Biden has brought this nauseating farce to its natural conclusion.

In this clime of wholesale political dishonesty —the inevitable reflection of the advanced capitalist crisis we inhabit—we obviously need a real left more than ever. It's clear, therefore, that if we allow our thin lines to be further fractured, we will be doing the enemy's bidding. Factionalism within the ranks of the real left has long been a real danger. By now, there's simply no fat to spare. Which brings us to this apparently highly divisive issue, the question of Ethiopia.

This long history of Western meddling and internecine ethnic factionalism has created, notes the author, a complex situation fraught with opportunities for more US imperialist intervention in Ethiopia, with the pivot for imperialism this time not centered in Tigray, as most left observers believe at this point, but in Addis Ababa. Meantime, the Ethiopian-TPLF war fans these flames to the disadvantage of most Ethiopians, but in the confusion it's hard to see who is the primary actor fueling the conflict. The moral and political blurriness of this situation is evident in the quoted passage below from an analysis by the Marxist publication WSWS (Trotskyist):

Abiy (Head of Ethiopia's federal government) is also facing Egyptian and Sudanese opposition to Ethiopia’s Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and its plans to fill what is Africa’s largest reservoir on its own schedule that its neighbours fear could jeopardise their water supply in the event of a drought. The Blue Nile, whose source lies in Ethiopia, provides more than 80 percent of the Nile’s waters. With Ethiopia refusing to negotiate the timetable, there are fears that Egypt and/or Sudan may support the armed insurgencies in Benishangul-Gumuz and Oromia regions.

Under such conditions, the TPLF and other insurgent groups would seize the opportunity to resist the federal government in Addis Ababa, precipitating a wider civil war that threatens not just the survival of Abiy’s government but the stability of the entire region. (Source: WSWS-Brutal conflict in Tigray threatens breakup of Ethiopia, Jean Shaoul, 12 April 2021).


At this point, only a broader perspective can begin to suggest a satisfactory solution to the problems piling up in Ethiopia—in this entire crucial region, actually—so tolerance and respect for diverging leftist viewpoints is essential if we are to sort out the evidence in good faith, while we all strive to strengthen the unity of the anti-imperialist left. In this particular context, Finian Cunningham has a lifetime of activism and a formidable record of lucid anti-imperialist analysis to back his perceptions. It is imperative that fellow populists and multilateralists hear his testimony.—PG


Ahmed receiving his Nobel. Strange things happen in the imperial orbit.


Ethiopia Peace Deal is Cover for Western Destruction of a Strong, Independent African State

By Finian Cunningham

Journalist Finian Cunningham lived in the Tigray region of Ethiopia during the build-up of the war that erupted in November 2020. That two-year war continues despite recent talk of a peace deal. The Tigray people are still under genocidal siege by the federal government led by a charlatan Nobel Peace laureate, Abiy Ahmed.

Many commentators in the West have a distorted view of the war, wrongly portraying the Tigray rebels (TPLF) as the aggressors. In a sickening inversion of reality, these commentators have blamed the victims of genocide instead of the real aggressor – the federal government in Addis Ababa. They also bizarrely claim that the US has supported the Tigray to undermine the federal government.

See for example: https://www.blackagendareport.com/ethiopia-nears-victory-its-civil-war-us-scrambles-control-outcome

Another example article of misinformation was this one by Matthew Ehret: https://strategic-culture.org/news/2021/12/05/will-ethiopia-become-bidens-libya-2-or-driver-for-african-renaissance/

Grayzone, Jimmy Dore, Redacted and other alternative news outlets have also published shameful misinformation. I offered to contribute a different perspective to these sites but got no response.

 
I lived in the Tigray region before the war erupted in November 2020, and I can tell you from direct experience that the Abiy government launched the provocations and aggression as early as 2018 after he came to power. It was not the Tigray rebels (TPLF) who started the war. The war was preceded by low-intensity aggression from cutting off services to the Tigray region by the central government in Addis Ababa. That culminated in a full-on siege on the region which continues to this day.

And the Western states have enabled that aggression by their lame support for the Abiy regime, despite the occasional statements of concern from the West about humanitarian suffering from the siege. At no time, have the Western powers intervened to halt the violations. Alleged US support for the TPLF is overblown and misplaced.

World Bank loans have been approved by the United States and European Union – even while the war was raging – which have served to prop up the Abiy regime.

US intervention has actually enabled the Abiy regime to destroy Ethiopia's independence by waging war against the Tigray region. The war was an aggression involving many serious crimes up to genocide. There was no justification for the war. But the upshot is a weakened Ethiopia which I believe Abiy Ahmed was purposed to achieve. During the TPLF-led government of 1991-2018, the ruling coalition was the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front. Abiy was a minister in that government. The notion that the period was all about TPLF tyranny is false. During that period, Ethiopia prospered and had a successful economic and social development partnership with China. It is not true that the TPLF were a US puppet. Ethiopia was strongly independent. What this war has done is turn Ethiopia into a failed state which suits Western capital and also thwarts China's strategic partnership.

There is evidence that when Abiy was a minister of communication technology in the EPRDF he came under US influence while studying at a US university. The Ethiopian security state apparatus had strong links with the US NSA which is different from the economic policy and strategic partnership with China. The US objective was to scupper Ethiopia's partnership with China. Abiy was groomed to take over power, launch the war on Tigray and turn Ethiopia into a failed state which it has become.

Ethiopia’s reported peace deal is a cover for the Western destruction of an independent African nation. Ethiopia is Africa’s second-most populous country situated in the strategically important Horn of Africa on the northeastern side of the continent.

These are monumental war crimes on top of a vicious military attack against the region and its civilian population. The Abiy regime has been allowed to commit huge crimes because of Western government complacency, indifference, and ultimately complicity.

Last year when the Tigray militants succeeded in pushing back the Abiy regime and his Eritrean allies, the American Joe Biden administration intervened to salvage Abiy’s shaky position and unwind the Tigray military gains. The Western powers have therefore prolonged the civil war in Ethiopia.

The bigger picture of this is the weakening of Ethiopia as an independent, strong African nation. The Western powers want a failed state that they can exploit and displace China's erstwhile strategic partnership with Ethiopia. Before Abiy Ahmed came to power in 2018, Ethiopia was the gateway to the African continent for China’s trade and investment plans. The Western-fueled war in Ethiopia has sabotaged that African gateway for China.

 
 

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ALL CAPTIONS AND PULL QUOTES BY THE EDITORS NOT THE AUTHORS