MoA—A person rarely gets infected by just one virus particle. They come in millions attached to tiny droplets. We do not know yet how the dose of the novel coronavirus that infects a person affects the intensity of the disease. But we do know from other viruses that the dose matters. People who catch a higher dose of viruses will usually have a more intense disease. A mask can lower the virus load the wearer may receive. One can improvise a mask from simple household objects.
AMERICAN BRAINWASHAMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISMAMERICAN PARTY DUOPOLYMED FRONTMEDICINE & SCIENCE
DR CARL JUNEAU—It’s here. COVID-19 hit China, Europe, and is grinding America to a halt. On March 13, President Trump declared a national emergency. Still, as a PhD in Public Health who specialised in epidemiology, I’m worried. Here’s why:
•The virus is spreading quickly
•It’s 10-40 times more deadly than regular flu (3.7% of people infected worldwide have died)
•16% of people infected get “seriously ill” (Guan et al. 2020)
•In Italy, hospitals are overwhelmed (an intensivist said “patients above 65 are not even assessed”—they’re forced to let them die).
•US Centers for Disease Control projected “200,000 to 1.7 million people dying” and 2.4 to 21 million requiring hospitalization—but the country only has 924,107 staffed beds
•Based on 5 other countries, it looks like the virus will be around for 3-4 months
MoA—Our first post on the issue was headlined The Coronavirus – No Need To Panic. It discussed the infectiousness and fatality rate of the novel coronavirus disease in comparison to other virus caused diseases. We pointed out that it is less infectious and less deadly than for example SARS but never said that it is not dangerous at all. In fact the numbers we pointed out said the opposite.