SCOTT RITTER—The proponents of American cancel culture aren’t making it easy for me. While I recently got my Twitter account back, every tweet I make gets swarmed by accounts affiliated with the North American Fellas Organization (NAFO), whose favorite line, “twice-convicted pedophile” is as insulting as it is wrong. (I was only convicted once, and the charges had nothing whatsoever to do with pedophilia or any manifestation thereof.)
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PEPE ESCOBAR—Those behind the Throne are never more dangerous than when they have their backs against the wall. Their power is slipping away, fast: Militarily, via NATO’s progressive humiliation in Ukraine; Financially, sooner rather than later, most of the Global South will want nothing to do with the currency of a bankrupt rogue giant; Politically, the global majority is taking decisive steps to stop obeying a rapacious, discredited, de facto minority.
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CAITLIN JOHNSTONE—The assumption that because a disaster has not happened in the past it will not happen in the future is a type of fallacious reasoning known as normalcy bias. The assumption that because a disaster has not happened in the past it will not happen in the future, even though you keep doing things to make it increasingly likely, is just being a fucking idiot. It’s like Wile E Coyote jumping up and down on the land mine until it explodes because it didn’t explode when the Roadrunner ran over it.
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BIG SERGE—Russia’s surprise decision to voluntarily withdraw from the west bank of Kherson in the first week of November, there has been little in the way of dramatic changes to the frontlines in Ukraine. In part, this reflects the predictable late autumn weather in Eastern Europe, which leaves battlefields waterlogged and clogged with mud and greatly inhibits mobility. For hundreds of years, November has been a bad month for attempting to move armies any sort of significant distance, and like clockwork we started to see videos of vehicles stuck in the mud in Ukraine.
The return of static positional warfare, however, also reflects the synergistic effect of increasing Ukrainian exhaustion along with a Russian commitment to patiently attriting and denuding Ukraine’s remaining combat capability. They have found an ideal place to achieve this in the Donbas.
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ANDREI MARTYANOV—I am on record, remember? US and NATO cannot do strategy, they never could after WW II. It is a cold hard fact of life. Sure, they love to use the term “strategy” but very few in the military-political top in the US have a grasp of what it is. So, what can I say–I already get flack for my pointing out that John Mearsheimer has no clue about strategy, Russia, and balance of power–he doesn’t have a toolset, as wouldn’t any political “scientist”, to grasp it. His early 1970s background from USMA at West Point and a few years in the USAF are radically not enough, especially lacking serious military engineering background, for understanding modern operations.
