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Julian Macfarlane
NEWS FORENSICS
Dateline: DEC 31, 2025
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Marochko: The West was involved in the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ attack on Putin’s residence.
Valeria Gorodetskaya
The drone attack on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s residence in the Novgorod region was guided by geolocation and NATO satellite systems, LPR lieutenant colonel Andrei Marochko stated.
According to him, the technical characteristics of the drones used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces indicate Western support,
“The West is clearly involved in this provocation, since the tactical and technical characteristics of the drones launched by Ukrainian militants allow for targeting using geolocation and the NATO satellite system,” Marochko stated.
He added that, in his opinion, Britain and a “coalition of the willing” were involved in the strike, possibly providing the coordinates for the drones’ flight instructions, and that drone components were also supplied by the West. He emphasized that the attack was targeted and dismissed attempts to justify the miss as unfounded.
Marochko is confident that Kyiv’s primary goal was not to inflict physical damage, but to derail negotiations for a peaceful resolution of the conflict.
According to Marochko, Russia will have to put forward tougher conditions in the next stage of negotiations with Kyiv.
He also emphasized that NATO, according to his information, oversees the senior officer and military-political leadership of Ukraine, which, in Marochko’s opinion, makes independent operations of this kind impossible without the approval of Western military officials.
Zelensky’s Presidency is getting very, very bad reviews. Zelensky’s behavior recently has been even more theatrically erratic, ever more detached from reality, an actor without a script. And it’s bad improv.
Some time ago, most of the media were trumpeting a “counteroffensive” in the Kupiansk area, where the Ukrainians have had about 3500 troops. Sounding the alarm were popular Alt Media pundits —Rybar— and Simplicius, citing “sources”. But could Fox News be wrong?
Looking at the evidence, it was pretty clear that the Ukrainians were throwing troops at the Russians, who had a few hundred men in Kupiansk, but very solid support.
Now, according to multiple reliable sources, Russian forces are mopping up Kupiansk, which has turned out to be another flop for Zelensky.
Ukrainian forces are gradually being boxed in,or encircled. We see a military concept conceived years ago now in practice,
The bulk of the enemy must be encircled or pinned to the sea, to the neutral border. Alexander Andreevich Svechin
We have cauldrons in the north, UAF forces in the South pinned to the sea. Once the Russians cross the Dniepr, they could drive right to the Polish Border. Russia doesn’t really want that, but Russian security depends on securing its borders with NATO.
Rostislav Ishchenko: Why Syrsky Sacrifices Lives to Buy Time for the West
William Moore, Editor Military Affairs
Ishchenko (President of the Center for Systematic Analysis and Forecasting, Ukraine), argues that the UAF clearly has neither the strength nor the means to reverse the course of hostilities; and the less of the UAF remains, the faster Russia advances, the more former Ukrainian territories pass under its control, and the greater the likelihood that region after region will, following Zaporozhye and Kherson, hold referendums in which even the pro-European part of Ukraine’s population votes to join Russia — because the choice for Russia will no longer be political but one of survival.
Many Russians, he says, will not be delighted by such an outcome, but in conditions of complete annihilation of Ukrainian state structures and a worsening humanitarian catastrophe, Russia will have virtually no choice. Territories left unattended will inevitably be entered by the West under the slogan of saving the remaining population from humanitarian disaster; Ishchenko does not think it would be overly concerned with rescue, but it would certainly build military infrastructure aimed against Russia — the notorious missiles near Bryansk.
The city of Zaporozhye is being approached from the south. Since the city is bisected by the Dniepr, to take the whole city, the Russians will have to cross the river. The Ukrainians have the high ground on the other side, but the Russians can wipe them out with their new long-range glide bombs.
However, it is likely that they will want to finish things off in the north of Donbas, and on their borders in Kharkov and Sumy, before moving to cross the Dniepr. Once that is done, they can move on Kherson City. They have already established firing positions on some islands in the Dniepr, forcing the Ukrainians to keep troops there.
It’s step by step.
Crossing the river and taking Kherson City only makes sense as part of a larger offensive to pin the UAF against the Black Sea, with Odessa and Mykolaiv increasingly cut off, lacking power and logistic support of all kinds.
Consequences
The US no longer has the economic power to dominate—nor the military power. Even against Venezuela, the US is not doing well. Its carrier in the Caribbean needs to retire to a base for maintenance; its blockade is putting a strain on the budget. It has killed a lot of fishermen and pirated cargo vessels, and now must worry about other nations pirating tankers. Its efforts are more theatre.
It struck Venezuela recently— apparently a drone strike on an undefended wharf, sinking unattended fishing boats.
The Israelis are treating Trump now with casual disdain, assuming, I think, that if the Democrats win in the October elections, he will be impeached.
The dollar continues its decline, and China’s digital yuan is taking up the slack.
The US is a sinking ship. How long before the rats look for rafts to escape on?
Russia’s economy and society have prospered despite Western enmity. As it turns out— so has Venezuela’s.
A Russian victory in Ukraine will be a defeat for the EU and NATO, but could be the rebirth of those European nations willing to take advantage of the new order.
That’s the Promise of 2026. Maybe a Happier New Year!
January 1, 2026
12: 20 AM Tokyo
It is now New Year’s in Tokyo. Still last year in some places. In Orthodox countries following the Julian calendar, it won’t be New Year’s until January 14.
In any case, Professor Chappy, Professor Ichi and the Toilet Guy wish you all the best for 2026, which I suspect will be an interesting year.
Many analysts are predicting all sorts of “bad things” this year —worsening climate conditions, war against Iran, political chaos in Europe, more chaos in Syria, middle-class joblessness due to AI, major AI issues of all kinds, and an economic crash in the US. Need I go on?
It sounds bad— and it would be.
But my research for my ongoing “Book” for coffee buyers indicates that the tough times both China and Russia experienced from the 80s to the year 2000 also created renaissances for their societies and the emergence of two remarkable leaders, Putin and Xi, who changed the world beyond the West.
Without challenge, there can be no change in the human condition, certainly no change for the better. 50,000 years ago a Dansgaard–Oeschger climatic event led to rapid environmental and ecological changes that also led to the evolution of “behaviorally modern” Homo Sapiens and the extinction of all our hominin cousins.
Things must get worse before they get better — but they WILL get better.
If you buy us coffee, you get access to all “Special Articles”, my book on longevity, in all major formats, and each time you buy a coffee I message you, usually with an update on the day’s events.
New “special article” coming soon.
I will be posting daily (or nightly) throughout the holidays. In the daytime, I read and read and read, researching.
And clean toilets.
Cats will inherit the Earth. As ever, my thanks to all

Happy New Year (almost)
Addendum
(It so happens that BOTH Julian and Larry (Johnson), WHO HAVE GREAT RESPECT FOR EACH OTHER, covered the attack on Putin splendidly.)
Did Ukraine Try to Kill Putin?
On the night of 28–29 December 2025, Russia’s Defense Ministry and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov claimed that Ukraine launched 91 long‑range drones at a presidential state residence in Novgorod region, northwest of Moscow. The Defense Ministry and Foreign Minister Lavrov describe the attack as occurring “on the night of December 28–29” and in the “early hours of December 29”, without specifying an exact clock time when the first UAVs appeared. A more detailed Russian‑language summary states that 18 drones aimed at the residence were intercepted before 07:00 Moscow time and another 23 between 07:00 and 09:00, which means that 50 drones had already been dispatched by the Russian air defense system. Russian officials said all 91 drones were shot down by air defenses, with no casualties or damage, and vowed unspecified retaliatory strikes; the attack was presented as a terrorist act that would affect Moscow’s stance in ongoing peace negotiations.
President Volodymyr Zelensky rejected the Novgorod claim as “typical Russian lies,” accusing Moscow of using a fabricated or exaggerated incident to justify new strikes on Ukrainian government targets and to harden its negotiating position. International coverage has so far treated the Novgorod episode cautiously, noting that it is difficult to independently verify either Russia’s claim of a massive attempted strike on Putin’s residence or Ukraine’s assertion that the story is manufactured.
So what happened? Although we do not know the precise time that the first drones entered Russian airspace, if the attempted attack started around 2200 hours Moscow time then that is 1400 hours in West Palm, Florida, where Volodymyr Zelensky was starting his meeting with Donald Trump. The meeting of the US and Ukrainian delegations lasted until 1700 hours Florida time, followed by a 30-minute press conference. 1700 hours in Florida is 0100 hours in Moscow. That means the attack on Putin’s residence was underway while Zelensky was supposed to be talking about peace.
The Ukrainian claim that Russia did this in order to “harden its negotiating position” does not pass the smell test because Russia’s position is already hardened. Moscow was not looking for an excuse to hit Ukraine harder… They already are doing so.
Did Zelensky approve the attack? I doubt it. I think this was ordered and executed by Ukrainian intelligence, with assistance from at least the British services, in order to sabotage the talks and damage Zelensky. This was not an actual attack to kill Putin because he has been living in the Kremlin for the last four years in order to reduce his vulnerability to an attack like this. The Ukrainian officials who ordered this were more intent on embarrassing Zelensky than on killing Putin.
I believe this is one more indicator that Zelensky’s days are numbered as his opponents in Ukraine, with encouragement from Western intelligence operatives, appear to be maneuvering to replace him and keep the war going. News broke over the weekend that General Zaluzhny, who has been in London for more than a year as the ostensible Ukrainian ambassador to the UK, is heading back to Kiev at the end of this week. The chess pieces in this iteration of Game of Thrones are moving.
Nima and I discussed the Trump/Zelensky confab before news of the failed attack on the Putin residence in Novgorod. However, Mario Nawfal contacted me later in the day when the news broke and we discussed the implications on his YouTube channel:
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