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Karl Sanchez
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Karl Sanchez is a leading geopolitical anti-imperialist analyst, former academic and food alchemist. He hosts Karlof1's Geopolitical Gymnasium on substack.com (https://karlof1.substack.com/)

Medvedev: And quite frankly, it is not clear whether it is needed at all…

by Karl Sanchez Published: January 20, 2025
written by Karl Sanchez 15 minutes read
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Dmitri Medvedev has provided an excellent epilogue to the Biden Administration’s Greek Tragedy written and posted to his Telegram on January 18 and sets the stage for the following analysis:

The Walking Dead. The end of the season.

Using the example of the walking dead Biden, who has gone into oblivion, you can trace how an experienced and generally intelligent politician (and he is very experienced, he worked in high positions back in the Soviet period) gradually turned into a senile man out of touch with reality.

When I talked to him, he did not yet have dementia. What even then attracted attention was an unhealthy interest in Ukraine, although he explained this to me with Obama's instructions.

Gradually, the instruction turned into an idee fixe. In this miraculous transformation, big political mistakes, banal corruption and simply poor analysis of the situation played a role - ignorance of history and misunderstanding of the nature of "Ukrainianism". And the old man at some point hit all the hard, in fact, unleashing a war between the collective West and Russia, which almost turned into a nuclear conflict with NATO.

Recently, he clearly did not fully understand what was happening. Yes, it must be admitted that such a war is beneficial to the United States in economic terms. But the political costs and the real threat of a fatal conflict are much more serious. But the old man was not ready for this. This is the case when the head of the largest power in the world completely failed to cope with the situation. As a result, the Democrats lost the elections miserably. If Biden's misfortune is in his inadequacy, then the fault of his administration is that on the Russian track it deliberately left a very difficult crisis legacy to its successors. The harmful bookmarks of Biden's decisions will manifest themselves for a very long time. And therefore it will be extremely difficult to communicate. The full normalization of Russian-American relations will drag on for decades.

Although, in my opinion, in the current realities, it is basically impossible. And quite frankly, it is not clear whether it is needed at all... [My Emphasis]

Almost two months ago, I wrote an updated essay assessing the post-election world Trump would inherit, “NATO Faces Capitulation in Europe.” Since then, many news conferences and Putin’s Direct Line made abundantly clear what Russia’s fundamental grounds for any Ukraine negotiations would entail, with the Outlaw US Empire’s position unchanged since December 2021. The most graphic example of just how Dead Team Biden became was encapsulated in an interview Blinken had just a week ago saying all the Empire’s adversaries are weaker today than when Team Biden took office, with Sullivan saying essentially the same thing in another interview. Those were BigLies told to the US Public and the world as the opposite is true. What follows is a listing of facts dealing with the ability of the USN to construct ships versus the PLA’s Navy that were listed on today’s Week in Review MoA thread:

Navy's $10B multiship deal will bolster defense industry ...

Stars and Stripes:
› branches › navy › 2024-10-02
2 Oct 2024 — A Navy deal to pay nearly $10 billion to build three new warships will help strengthen the shipbuilding industry and efforts to satisfy a congressional demand.

>US Navy’s amphibious fleet plagued by aging ships, deferred maintenance and capacity shortfalls
>The Navy will need a budget boost of at least $85 billion annually to realize an ambitious goal to grow its fleet by nearly 100 ships over the next three decades, according to a recent Congressional Budget Office analysis.
>President-elect Donald Trump criticized the management of the US Navy’s Constellation-class frigate program today following cost increases due to what he called people “playing around and tinkering and changing the design.”
>Navy shipbuilding plan would cost $1 trillion over the next 30 years.

China out-mans and out-guns the US.
from Andrew Erickson
By CMPR’s suspense date of “early 2024,” China already had over 600 operational nuclear warheads.
All of China’s roughly 400 ICBMs can reach the continental United States (CONUS).
PRC has the world’s leading hypersonic missile arsenal.
3 new silo fields add 320 silos for solid-propellant ICBMs.
China working to double its DF-5 liquid-propellant ICBM force to likely 50 silos.
September 2023, China test-launched two CSS-10 Mod 3/DF-31AG ICBMs from training silos in Western China. China simulated “Joint Firepower Strike Operations” against Taiwan, in part by live-firing PCH191 close-range ballistic missiles in its 2022 exercises, and drilling with the missile in its 2023 exercises.
China’s four Type 093B Shang III guided-missile nuclear attack submarines, 3 of which may be operational by 2025, may have land-attack cruise missiles.
China now has 5 types of ASBMs: DF-21D, DF-26, DF-17, DF-27, and YJ-21.
5,000-8,000 km-range DF-27 IRBM/ICBM: The “‘long-range’ DF-27 ballistic missile is deployed to the PLARF and likely has a HGV payload option as well as conventional land-attack, conventional antiship, and nuclear capabilities.”
Potential targets include Guam, Alaska, and Hawaii.
Pentagon estimates China’s actual defense budget is $330-450 billion.
China has world’s largest military force: 2.035 million active, 510,000 reserve, and 500,000 paramilitary
China’s navy already has over 370 ships and submarines, including more than 140 major surface combatants.
CMPR anticipates 395 PLAN battle force ships by 2025, including 65 submarines; and 435 by 2030, including 80 submarines.
China’s air force has 51 Y-20A heavy lift transports, whose up to 2,400 nautical mile range may be extended by 16 Y-20U tankers.
https://www.andrewerickson.com/2024/12/department-of-defense-just-released-2024-china-military-power-report-fact-sheet-full-text-here/

So, best case, it would take the USA a $1trillion and 30 years to build 100 ships. China can do that in a year and for a fraction of the cost.

Now consider that in a real knock-down-drag-out naval slugfest between the US and China, the US could lose a hundred ships. Maybe China would lose more, maybe not, but a year later, who will be ruling the seas? The US will be out of the fight for decades at best. Keep in mind that many of China's front line ships are more modern (because they were built more recently) and are designed specifically to counter the US Navy.

The US Navy is terrified of a real fight with China, and for good reason.

A US-China naval battle six thousand miles away?
With a retarded US Navy?

from the web:
>Why the U.S. Military Has to Hitch a Ride on Commercial Ships. . .Pentagon’s limited capacity to support a potential China conflict forces planners to tap private cargo companies
>USS Boxer makes U-turn for repairs on long-delayed, short ...Apr 15, 2024 · Maintenance problems forced an amphibious assault ship to return to California last week, just days into its first deployment in five years.
> India will be serving as a future maintenance hub for U.S. Navy assets in the Indo-Pacific,
>The Navy's maintenance troubles are getting worse -
>Feb 5, 2023 · The biggest problems have been increased maintenance delays, coupled with a rise of parts shortages, forcing crews to cannibalize parts for repairs.
>Amphib Boxer soon to be sidelined again for 18 months of ...May 30, 2024 · WASHINGTON — Although the Navy says it will be able to fix the amphibious assault ship Boxer’s (LHD-4) rudder issues pierside, the service is now planning for the problem-
>Crew Shortages, Bad Mattresses Causing Navy Surface Sailors ...Oct 30, 2023 · Among the top reasons sailors are getting an average 5.25 hours of sleep a day instead of the desired 7.5 hours, according to the GAO, are crew shortages and uncomfortable mattresses.
>significant projected delays in deliveries of several types of Navy ships; industrial base capacity constraints for building Navy ships; inflation in Navy shipbuilding costs;
>Fewer than 2 Dozen Shipyard Workers Involved in Suspect Welds, Delay in 17-Sub Contract Creates ‘Unpredictability’
>Overhaul Delays for USS George Washington, USS John C. Stennis Partially Due to Unknown Steam Turbine Damage
> The Navy projects that 10 new ships will be delivered to the fleet in FY2025. -- China has 230 times the shipbuilding capacity of the United States. - About 70 percent of Chinese warships were launched after 2010, while only about 25 percent of the U.S. Navy’s were.
>The U.S. Coast Guard said that it intends to send specialized forces, training teams, and other capacity-building assets to help Indo-Pacific allies. The United States aims to enhance the capacity of regional coast guards to support them in countering ‘malign influence’ [i.e. China] in the region.
>there is a lack of new, younger skilled workers . . . Today, we are short nearly 140,000 workers to support the building of submarines alone.
>Navy extends service life of a fourth San Diego warship as vessel shortage worsens
>China is currently outpacing the U.S. in fifth-generation fighter jet production, a development that would shift military power in the Pacific.
>YOKOSUKA NAVAL BASE, Japan — Two sailors assigned to the USS George Washington died within days of the aircraft carrier’s arrival at its new homeport in Japan, a ship spokesman confirmed Monday.
>‘Come for the dog, stay for the care’: Sailors find mental health care aboard Navy warships through ‘fur therapy’
>Delayed and skipped amphibious warship maintenance has prevented Marine Corps units from training and deploying on schedule, reads a new Government Accountability Office report.
>Physically fit sailors may be exempt from body standards next year, Navy says.

My interjection:

PLA Navy is designed to work close to Mainland with primary focus on Taiwan. USN has no assets capable of defeating PLAN in its realm. As noted, Chinese shipbuilding ability makes US ability essentially zero. Losing the war against Russia foretells the result of any war against China--defeat for US forces.

As for what appears to be a strategic redirection of the Outlaw US Empire's aims to its portion of the Arctic, a quick look at a map will reveal zero infrastructure of any sort capable of supporting any military or corporate project. Essentially no ice breakers clearly adds to the infrastructure deficit. Russia is a whole century ahead of the Empire in its Arctic development, and the cost in today's dollars to match Russia's current facilities would be 30-40 Trillion--an amount the Empire cannot afford. Monies obtained via rents of all sorts can't be translated into higher defense/war spending when much of those rents were obtained via the deindustrialization of the means required for defense/war.

Enough time has passed for Neoliberalism to be judged as the greatest ever miscalculation and misallocation of resources in history. It's no wonder that the two nations that didn't allow themselves to be captured by that dysfunctional philosophy now have the strongest militaries on the planet and have the most technically advanced industrial capabilities and are closely followed in ability by their two major allies--Iran and India.

Adding Greenland or Canada will only increase the Empire's overall financial burden as the resources they supposedly contain that might add assets will require massive amounts of expense for infrastructure development before anything positive appears.

This very interesting video Q&A between Rossiya 1 journalist Pavel Zarubin and VTB CEO Andrey Kostin that was posted at Martyanov’s blog today:

The SWIFT system should be abandoned to avoid information leaks, VTB CEO Andrey Kostin said in an interview that journalist Pavel Zarubin published on his Telegram channel. "SWIFT should be simply killed, in a good sense of the word, abandoned and no longer used. This is a direct leak of information to our enemies <…> and the main thing is that it is so easy to solve — it is a purely administrative decision, an agreement between the two parties and a few technological solutions, that's all," Kostin said. Several years ago, SWIFT was the main system for processing payments — almost all banking transactions in the world went through it. But in 2014, when Western countries first threatened to disconnect Russia from the system, large countries began to create alternatives. The Financial Message Transfer System (SPFS) appeared in Russia.

The longstanding weekly chats on Nima’s Dialog Works featuring Drs. Michael Hudson and Richard Wolff have centered on the topic neither Harris nor Trump mentioned during their campaigns: How to manage the declining US Empire. Trump tacitly admits with his MAGA slogan that what was once strong is now weak. Both endorsed US Imperial policy that says Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea must all be defeated, but only Trump admitted Russia’s beating the Empire in Ukraine and seeks to solve the problem, but there’s been no acknowledgement of Russia’s steadfast grounds for the SMO’s cessation, which is an admission that the Walking Dead’s policy lives on.

Given the powerfully negative political effects of the anti-Russian sanctions on Europe, Germany especially, the basic demilitarization of European NATO assets, and the additional onus on NATO members promised by Trump, there’s potential for the NATO Bloc to dissolve and with it the EU since they’re both run by the Outlaw US Empire to Europe’s detriment—facts becoming more well known and protested against. What both Hudson and Wolff have been saying for decades is Europe’s been getting a free ride for defense as most of NATO’s cost is paid by the Empire, and that free ride allowed Europe to enact what until recently was its high-quality system of social benefits. NATO’s Narrative has always been about an aggressive USSR/Russia, which the Ukraine conflict was supposed to show while inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia. The truth is the opposite as some of the world knows. More European leaders have come to understand that truth and are beginning to see who their real adversaries are and where they’re located—Brussels and Washington. And as NATO/EU grows more totalitarian, more Europeans will see the light. Europe needs to free itself from the NATO/EU system of control and regain sovereignty—politically and economically. They could sing along with Medvedev: Who needs relations with the Outlaw US Empire?

Back on 14 February 2022 Lavrov said the following in his report to Putin about the results of the December security proposals :

[T}his approach is about the legal settlement of issues that generally threaten the Euro-Atlantic Region.

As we’ve seen over the last 18 months, that is no longer the case. Both Putin and Lavrov have publicly stated the Euro-Atlantic security system is now dead. What will replace it is a Eurasian Security Structure based on the indivisibility of security, which the UN Charter, previous OSCE Treaties and China’s Global Security Initiative are all based upon. To arrange such a structure, the consent/participation of the Outlaw US Empire isn’t required. Eurasia is a well-established geographical entity that has no parts within the Western Hemisphere. It may or may not include the islands that closely surround it—I’m thinking the UK, Japan, and Philippines. Thus, relations with the Empire aren’t required. There’ll likely be some European/Eurasian naysayers because of their degree of supine obedience to the Empire—as Putin has said, the structure will be open to all; unlike NATO there’s no must. Such a structure will also join with China’s Global Security Initiative that would bring in African and South American nations. Decades hence once the Outlaw US Empire becomes a normal nation for the first time in its existence, it too will be welcomed.

That’s where we are generally as Trump again becomes the Empire’s President. The Empire faces a plethora of problems and conundrums, some solvable, many not without massive structural alteration of the US political system and its massive debt overhead. If Trump chooses confrontation over cooperation with his supporters—not his bankrollers—his tenure will be a failure. Trump will find it close to impossible to admit Russia defeated the Empire, although that’s the outcome’s reality. Once Trump embarks on his policy course, we can make further assessments. And in the back of many minds will be the 2028 election.


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KARL SANCHEZ Dispatches: The Merits of True Promise III & Zelensky Staying the Course

by Karl Sanchez Published: January 9, 2025
written by Karl Sanchez 35 Mins • Watch/ read
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Some may have heard of Iran’s True Promise III Plan, which follows on II and I, and is aimed at deterring the Zionists of Occupied Palestine. This article at The Cradle, “Can True Promise III reshape Iran’s geopolitical fate?” helps explain what it is and why it must be pursued. Alastair Crooke in today’s chat with Judge Napolitano tacitly agreed that Iran doesn’t really have much choice but to show the Zionists in Washington and Tel Aviv that it has genuine deterrence power, and that the previous lies about the effectiveness of Iran’s attacks were just that—lies.



First streamed on Jan 6, 2025. 


Unfortunately, the Zionists believe their lies. Complicating the issue for Iran is its internal socio-economic. The Cradle author writes:

While the rhetoric of Iran's leaders is often focused on the evils of western ‘malevolent’ agendas, on the home front, Iran also faces mounting challenges. Inflation is soaring, the rial is in freefall, housing is increasingly unaffordable, and energy shortages have led to blackouts. Public frustration mounts as these issues are often blamed on governmental incompetence. Iranians are asking pressing questions – What about skyrocketing rents? Food prices? Heating during winter? How will eradicating the ‘roots of Zionism’ help with ‘bread-and-butter’ issues?

No doubt, Washington will seek to take full advantage of this rare convergence of Iran's domestic and regional setbacks to target the Islamic Republic in the coming months.

Unfortunately, aside from what Crooke imparts to Napolitano, discovering Crooke’s written opinion on True Promise III or anything else at his new substack requires purchasing a subscription as it appears he’s ended his publishing relationship with Strategic Culture, where today’s companion essay would’ve appeared. An internet search reveals many basic articles from the latter months of 2024 about the reality of the coming attack although the when question is always unanswered.

The many months of hype related to the Russia-Iran Strategic Agreement whose details according to Lavrov were agreed to months ago that many thought would ease Iran’s economic problems has seen its deadline pushed out ever further and is now supposed to become reality of 17 January, although that date is also fumbled about by different commentators. Indeed, the amount of importance placed on Iran for BRI and INSTC viability gave the impression that Iran was far more stable than it appears. The Cradle points out the fact that Russia, Iran and China all share the same adversary, but they are all impacted differently. Russia and Iran are essentially in direct conflict while China has yet to reach that point. The current Iranian president is anything but a warrior and has gotten this far without attacking the Zionists with phase III, which in my and other opinions irks Netanyahu.

//////////////////////////////////////

A note on the Russia-Outlaw US Empire conflict. The Ukies have attempted a counter-attack in the Kursk region where they again forfeited most of their troops and equipment. Most commentators are calling this utterly stupid and irrational. I beg to differ. What this does is to put further backbone into the Empire’s primary policy in Eurasia, which is to keep as many conflicts going along the arch of instability as it can to force Russia, China and their allies to defer their development and concentrate on security. The Empire’s Deep State doesn’t give a damn if all Ukraine’s 18-24 year-olds are killed while upholding their geopolitical policy. Trump may try to end that, but IMO he’s going to fail as any agreement reached with Russia will need to be approved by a 2/3s+1 majority vote by the Senate, which is very unlikely. Yes, he can try to cut funding and weapons transfers, but those will also be hard tasks since he has no line-item veto ability. And then we’re faced with Trump’s motivation to end the conflict with Russia versus his desire to confront Iran and China—conflicts that also fit into the Deep State’s overall geopolitical strategy of containing Eurasian economic and geopolitical power growth.

Some analysts have said Russia made a mistake by ending the genocide in Donbass, that Russia didn’t understand the degree of resolve within the Outlaw US Empire to further the conflict given the inherent risk of nuclear war. Russia’s initial strategy almost worked and would have, except for the Empire’s intervention. That necessitated a change in strategy, although the SMO goals would remain the same. Further ground was gained, referendums held in those newly liberated regions, and legislation passed enabling two more oblasts to enter/return to Russia. The SMO continues now with an enlarged demilitarization aim that extends to NATO, not just Ukraine, and Russia’s doing that very well without needing to invade any NATO nation. And as it does that, Russia proves to the entire world the vast superiority of its weapons and associated systems. So, once the SMO ends, Russian arms sales—which are now curtailed—will soar. Furthermore, many analysts say Russia has yet to reach the Dnieper River, but that’s not at all correct as Russia abuts it in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions.

So, yes, the Outlaw US Empire will continue to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian with never-ending aid from Zelensky. As for the buffers Russia would want against NATO, they appear to be forming politically, as the Central European nations are already changing their political allegiances and their militaries are being deweaponized as they give what they have to Ukraine to lose on the battlefield. The Poles are properly aware of their powerful neighbour, look at Ukraine’s plight and refuse to be dragooned any deeper into the Empire’s Deep State’s project. The Baltics have no power. And with Europe’s deindustrialization, little facility exists for them to replenish, US arms are a waste of money, and no nation has any extra money to spend on war anyway. Most want peace and the resumption of trade with Russia. The fundamental geoeconomic structure in Eurasia cannot be altered by war unless the Outlaw US Empire can conquer Russia, which will never occur. The Empire’s in decline; Eurasia’s on the rise and the Global Majority wants to ride Eurasia’s bandwagon. Trump will need to become a terrorist like Clinton, Biden, Obama, and Bush while doing the Deep State’s bidding unless he refuses. But as we saw in Trump’s first term, he was all too happy to become a terrorist.


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Part 2

New Russian Paper on its African Policy

"The Military-Political Dimension of the African Continent in the Context of Russia's Foreign Policy"

KARL SANCHEZ



On 3 January 2025, Russia’s venerable International Affairs journal published an analytical paper by Olga Trofimova of the National Defense Control Center of the Russian Federation (Moscow). The paper is academic in nature, contains footnotes and is rather long. Many have asked for an elaboration on Russian/Chinese policy regarding Africa. This paper offers a starting point:

The Military-Political Dimension of the African Continent in the Context of Russia's Foreign Policy

 

AFRICA is one of the most important regions in world politics and economics. Important political and social processes are taking place in the countries of the continent, which significantly affects the situation in the world. In the future, due to active population growth, military conflicts and waves of migration to the Middle East, Asia and Europe are possible. As one of the main players in building a new global security architecture, Russia has historically been assigned the role of a key participant in the processes of resolving emerging problems, including on the African continent.

It is worth noting the ever-growing interest of the leading world powers in African countries, primarily as a market for various goods, including the military-industrial complex, as well as their desire to expand their military-political presence on the continent. In this regard, it is urgent to comprehensively consider the military-political dimension of the African continent in the context of the new Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation (RF), to show the existing problems in this area and to outline the main ways to solve them.

To a certain extent, this material can be in demand by the state and military authorities of the Russian Federation in the development and adoption of decisions in the military-political sphere aimed at strengthening Russia's position on the African continent and eliminating existing problems.

It should be noted that in domestic and foreign political science there is still no clear definition of the term "military-political dimension", although it is used quite often in practice and in many documents related to international relations. For example, the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, signed on August 1, 1975 in Helsinki, fixes the main agreements in the field of security, including the military-political dimension[1], expressed in the coordination of a set of confidence-building measures in the military field (preliminary notifications of military exercises, major troop movements, the exchange of observers on a voluntary basis at military exercises, etc.)[2].

This term is also found in the documents of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA). In particular, according to the updated CICA Catalogue of Confidence Building Measures (approved at the meeting of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the CICA Member States on 12 October 2021), in order to ensure lasting stability, strengthen mutual trust in the "military-political dimension", the Member States, taking into account their legitimate security interests, allow the presence of foreign military contingents in the territories of the Member States, if the disclosure of this information is allowed by the country, accommodating such a contingent[3].

Also, this term is often used in their works by many foreign and domestic scientists. For example, F.O. Trunov, a researcher at the Western Europe Sector of the Department of Europe and America of the Center for Scientific and Information Studies of Global and Regional Problems of the Institute of Scientific Information for Social Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences, uses the practical aspect of the concept of "military-political dimension" in his research[4].

It is believed that the military-political dimension of the African continent is an important component of Russia's foreign policy, representing the directions of its military and political interaction with the countries of the region and their content.

The increased attention of the Russian leadership to deepening relations with African countries is evidenced by the fact that in the new Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation of 2023, Africa has risen to sixth place among regional priorities[5]. In the previous similar document of 2016, it was in last place. In addition, supporting the development of regional and subregional integration within the framework of multilateral international institutions, dialogue platforms, regional associations, including in Africa, is one of the tasks of achieving the goals of the foreign policy of the Russian Federation[6].

In developing cooperation with the countries of the African continent, the Russian leadership takes into account an important feature of their modern foreign policy. If in the 1960s the newly independent states of Africa were in search of their identity and served as an arena of confrontation between the capitalist and socialist systems, now they have become full-fledged actors in international relations, experiencing a real renaissance.

The current military-political elites of many countries of the African continent are distinguished by the presence of higher education, including those obtained in Soviet and Russian military and civilian universities, and selectivity in the choice of allies, taking into account the lessons of the colonial past. This is confirmed, in particular, by the results of the Russia-Africa summits, which have already become regular, in which numerous representatives of the African military-political elites take part (Fig. 1) [7].

As the analysis shows, the military-political dimension of Russia's interaction with African countries has several important aspects.

The first is related to the fight against terrorism and extremism on the African continent. Russia provides assistance to a number of African states in the field of security, including advisory and instructor assistance, in particular, to Mali, the Central African Republic (CAR), Burkina Faso, etc.

The second aspect is Russia's active participation in peacekeeping operations on the African continent. Russian peacekeepers are involved in operations under the auspices of the UN in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Western Sahara, the Central African Republic, South Sudan, as well as in the disputed Abyei region between Sudan and South Sudan.

The third aspect is that Russia offers its own vision of the possibilities of resolving crisis situations in Africa, which, in our opinion, can be described as a model of flexible use of the so-called smart power, which combines components of "soft power" (creating an attractive image of the state, providing humanitarian and other assistance to African countries that are friendly to Russia positions, granting them loans on acceptable terms, training military and law enforcement officers of these countries in various specialties in compliance with Russian education standards, etc.) and "hard power" (the ability to confidently and efficiently defend one's national interests in any region of the world).

This model is more effective than the model currently promoted by the collective West led by the United States, as evidenced by a comparative analysis of their distinctive features (Table). It flexibly adapts to the existing African geopolitical realities, as evidenced, in particular, by the successful testing of certain mechanisms of military-political cooperation with Burkina Faso, Mali and the Central African Republic.

Distinctive Features of the Russian and Western Models of Crisis Resolution in Africa

 

An example of the successful functioning of the Russian model is the political peace agreement signed in Khartoum on February 6, 2019 between the government of the Central African Republic and the main armed groups operating in the country. These agreements are considered an important event in the political life of the CAR, which marked the beginning of the process of national reconciliation. This agreement was made possible thanks to the mediation efforts of Russia and Sudan, which initiated negotiations between armed groups in Khartoum in August 2018, as a result of which it was possible to form a Central African opposition association in order to achieve long-term and sustainable peace in the CAR.

It is obvious that the presented aspects of the military-political dimension of relations between the Russian Federation and African countries are important for ensuring security and stability in the region, as well as for the development of mutually beneficial economic, military and cultural cooperation.

It should be borne in mind, however, that at present many countries of the African continent are striving to develop multi-vector cooperation, establishing interaction with various states of the world. And in order to understand what chances Russia has in this area and how best to use them, it is advisable to take into account the strategy of other geopolitical players trying to expand their influence in this region.

The modern West is making attempts to recreate the neocolonial system through uneven economic and military-political relations with the developing countries of Africa. To do this, the entire set of available tools in various fields is used. For example, in the economic sphere, the activities of large oil and gas and other transnational corporations, such as Royal Dutch Shell, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Chevron, De Beers, and others, are expanding, and in the cultural sphere, the international organization La Francophonie is stepping up its efforts, seeking to tie the former French colonies to the policy of the former metropolis.

The United States is also pursuing an active neocolonial policy in Africa, primarily in order to strengthen the fight against terrorism and the growing influence of the BRICS countries on the continent. The American approach is to make extensive use of the potential of transnational corporations with the active support of the "deep state" (oligarchic clans). [We know that the West uses its Terrorist Foreign Legion to create chaos so infected nations will beg for Western military intervention which solidifies political control of the infected nation. That policy was very effective until being unmasked with the destruction of Libya and its aftermath.]

Moreover, NATO, led by the United States, is currently working on a new comprehensive strategy for the Middle East, North Africa and the Sahel region, which explores the possibility of opening NATO training and advisory missions in the countries of the region to counter the growing influence of Russia.

Japan has shared the economic and political aspects of its relations with African countries and has decided to provide them with humanitarian support. Over the past few years, the trade turnover between Japan and the states of the continent has been about $24 billion. At the initiative of the Japanese leadership, the main format of negotiations is the Tokyo International Conference on African Development, which has been held since 1993. Previously, it was organized every five years, now every three years. The goal is to popularize the African direction, to attract donors. Japan itself has chosen the tactics of shadow diplomacy, i.e., it very rarely reveals the directions of its policy in this region. There is very little information about this, it only occasionally appears in the media and is practically not analyzed.

China focuses its main efforts on investment and infrastructure construction in African countries, offering them affordable loans, since the states of the continent often cannot independently pay for Chinese projects, and therefore they often remain the property of the PRC. This policy, however, seems to be very ambiguous. Coups d'état regularly occur in this region, and the new government can nationalize the Chinese infrastructure, which can become a source of conflict.

The Chinese leadership seeks to expand the list of partners and its diplomatic influence on the continent. However, Beijing is now focusing more on economic expansion than on military or political expansion. So far, more than 35 African countries have signed agreements with China as part of the Belt and Road Initiative. The main model of China's relations with African states is resources in exchange for infrastructure.

India's approach is "soft power". Unlike China, it pays attention not to infrastructure projects, but to the IT sector. At the moment, India cannot have the same economic influence on African countries as China, so it often cooperates with the United States in this region. [It lacks China’s financial power.]

The Gulf countries are pursuing a slightly different policy in Africa. Their activities are not characterized by publicity, they use secret diplomacy (back channel diplomacy) and informal contacts. The United Arab Emirates and other Gulf countries present a kind of attractive model that meets with understanding in African countries. This is done in rather mild ways, for example, by spreading traditional values in combination with advanced technologies.

It makes sense to dwell on France's policy in Africa in more detail, since at present its interaction with the countries of the continent is in a severe crisis. This is pointed out not only by Russian, but also by French experts in Africanism.

This crisis has a threefold character, manifesting itself in the following main areas:

  • in the military-political sphere, the unsuccessful completion of Operation Barkhane⁎, ineffective tactics, lack of a comprehensive approach and, as a result, failure in the fight against Islamist terrorist groups;

⁎ Barkhane is an operation of the French Armed Forces in Burkina Faso, Mauritania, Mali, Niger and Chad (G5 Sahel countries) against Islamist terrorist groups. It was a continuation of Operation Serval, which France has been conducting in Mali since 2013. Since July 2014, having received the name "Barkhane", the operation has spread, in addition to Mali, to Burkina Faso, Mauritania, Niger and Chad. The Sahara-Sahel region is a zone 400 km south of the Sahara, which stretches through the territories of ten countries for 3.9 thousand km from the Atlantic Ocean in the west to the Red Sea in the east. The Sahel zone has become a threat to the countries of West Africa due to the actions of terrorists.

  • in the financial and economic sphere, the rapid decline of French economic influence in Africa, the growth of anti-French sentiment (sentiment anti-francais),and demands to abandon the use of French financial, economic, and other instruments;

  • in the cognitive sphere, it is the loss of image in the international arena, the defeat in the struggle for the minds and hearts of Africans, the failure of the "Françafrique" policy due to the ineffective use of methods, means and strategies[10].

As a financial instrument of its neocolonial policy, France invented the Central African franc (CFA). The franc CFA centrafricain is the currency of the six African countries that make up the franc currency area, which is used in many African countries, but is controlled by the French National Bank. African countries want to get rid of the CFA, replacing it with their own ECO currency, which several states of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) intend to implement, which is being actively worked on at the moment.

In early May 2022, France was informed of the unilateral decision of the transitional government of Mali to denounce the defense cooperation agreement with it, and on November 9, 2022, French President Emmanuel Macron made an official statement on the termination of the French anti-terrorist operation "Barkhane" in the Sahel zone in Africa[11].

These facts indicate that France's dominance in Africa has ceased to be an axiom.French publicist Thomas Dietrick asks a rhetorical question: "Is France losing its position in the CAR?" And he answers it in the affirmative: "Recent events indicate this; in Paris they see that his influence in the CAR has weakened to a thin trickle"[12]. Charles Bussel and Emre Sari, senior consultants at the Crisis Group, puzzled by the situation, also asked: "Why is Russia's military presence so obvious in this chaotic country that was once under French influence?" [13].

As long as France has not completely withdrawn from the African continent, its military and political presence is still felt in a number of countries on the coast of the Gulf of Guinea–-in Senegal, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon: in each of them there are military bases, strongholds and communications. Mali in May 2022, and Burkina Faso in January 2023, terminated status-of-forces agreements with France.

It is worth noting that at the moment the situation in Senegal is not as straightforward as it was before. On May 16, 2024, Senegalese Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko raised the issue of closing French military bases in the country during a joint conference with the leader of the France Insoumise party, Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger have seen military coups condemned by ECOWAS partners and Western countries. As a result of isolation from former allies, these states of the Sahel region intensified military-technical and economic cooperation with Russia and severed ties with the former metropolis: France. French troops were withdrawn from these countries. Now the Sahel Troika is assisted by Russian military specialists. As ECOWAS imposed sanctions on the rebel governments, the latter announced their withdrawal from the bloc and the creation of an "Alliance of Sahel States", as well as the formation of a joint anti-jihadist force.

France has not completely left the CAR, only the French military contingent has been withdrawn—the last small military-logistics mission, but the political and diplomatic presence still remains in the field of education and support for humanitarian ties.

In view of the above, it can be noted that there is a more distinct trend of a growing domino effect in changing the positions of an increasing number of countries on the African continent, expressed in their unwillingness to see the presence of Western countries, primarily France and the United States, on their territories. This, for example, is what the CAR newspaper Le Renouveau-RCA wrote about on September 5, 2023, and it also gave a fairly honest answer to the question of why such a redistribution of power in the region is taking place: "This is where the balance is: God has given intelligence to the West and endowed Africa with riches"[16]. As the editors of the newspaper correctly note, expressing the opinion of the citizens of the CAR, Africa is moving in the rhythm of coups d'état. From Mali to Burkina Faso, through Niger and Gabon, the military is coming to power.

It is worth mentioning separately the opinion of the Minister of Defense and Veterans Affairs of the Republic of Mali, Colonel S. Camara, expressed at the XI Moscow Conference on International Security. He spoke about the negative consequences of insecurity in the region, when the collective efforts of African states to find appropriate solutions lead to economic lag.

What are the main security challenges facing the Sahel countries and West Africa? The region is facing a rare history of violence, manifested in certain internal and external aggressions, which, according to the Minister of Defence of Mali, are classified according to their motivations as those of armed terrorist groups, organized transnational criminal groups or hybrid groups with separatist tendencies. They are united by the desire to encourage and exploit the crises of coexistence of the society on which they feed.

Focusing on the particular example of the CAR, it is possible to build a model of how the interests of African countries are reoriented towards the Russian Federation. As is known, this republic was a colony of France when it was still called Ubangi-Shari. Russia's close cooperation with the CAR began with the 2018 Agreement on Military Cooperation between the Russian Federation and the CAR. Following this, Russia initiated a decision of the UN Security Council, which allowed it to arm two battalions of the government Armed Forces and send 140 military instructors to this country.

Kenny Gluck (USA), Deputy Head of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the CAR (MINUSCA), in 2019, although he said that Russia's actions cause a certain "nervousness", admitted that "the supply of weapons from Moscow and the training of the military is a very positive development"[20].

In 2023, Russian Ambassador to the CAR Alexander Bikantov said in an interview with a RIA Novosti correspondent that there are a significant number of Russian military instructors in the CAR[21]. According to him, the authorities of the republic highly appreciate their work in training military personnel, police and gendarmerie officers, as well as in advising on the fight against illegal armed groups.

He also noted that the presence of Russian military instructors in the country strengthened the combat capability of the army, although it caused discontent among third countries, in particular France, which until December 2022 cooperated with the CAR in the military field—the French contingent, as part of the MISLOG-B mission, was responsible for the logistics of the base in the capital Bangui, which was used by members of the EU and UN stabilization training mission in the CAR. At the end of 2022, France ceased military cooperation with the CAR, as it considered that the country was participating in an anti-French campaign, and the last 130 French troops left this country [22].

Russia's position on cooperation with African countries, unlike many Western countries, is calibrated and thoughtful, and is aimed at rapprochement and common responsibility for the future of the world, which allows all interested states to get more opportunities to jointly solve global problems and equalize socio-economic development.

At the same time, there are some problems in the sphere of military-political cooperation between Russia and African states due to a number of factors.

First, the negative consequences of the weakening of relations between the Russian Federation and African countries in the 90s of the last century, caused by the collapse of the USSR, Russia's turn to the West with the consolidation of the corresponding political reconfiguration in the Foreign Policy Concept, have not yet been fully eliminated.

Second, other international actors are expanding their activities in Africa, including those pursuing an openly hostile policy towards Russia (the increased activity of the United States, Great Britain and France, their promotion of a neocolonial approach, the desire to squeeze the Russian Federation out of Africa at any cost and regain its lost influence), as well as non-aligned states that have their own interests in this region (India, China, Japan, the Persian Gulf countries, etc.).

Thirdly, foreign media cover the build-up of Russia's presence on the continent mainly in a negative way (fakes and unfounded accusations regarding the Russia-Africa summit held in July 2023[23], etc.), seeking to belittle its successes, achievements and distort the goals of developing relations with African countries.

Russia is quite capable of overcoming these problems, since it has a number of advantages in the African direction, which favorably distinguish it from the activities of Western states.

 

In order to resolve the existing problems as soon as possible and intensify relations between the Russian Federation and African countries in the focus of the development of the military-political dimension, it seems expedient to intensify activities in the following areas:

  • qualitative strengthening of propaganda work in the media of Russia and friendly African countries, the main message of which should be the formation among Africans of a stable image of Russia as a country that has returned to the continent seriously and for a long time and builds its foreign policy on the principles of a mutually beneficial and respectful approach, free from ideological and other dogmas, based on strict compliance with the norms of international law;

  • expanding cooperation with African countries in all possible spheres of activity and saturating it with real projects related, for example, to the promotion of the Russian model of education, the supply of modern Russian technologies and equipment, the construction of railway networks, highways, schools, hospitals, nuclear and hydroelectric power plants, scientific and cultural institutions in compliance with high standards in the field of safety;

  • improvement and expansion of the regulatory framework in the field of military-political, military and military-technical cooperation both at the level of international agreements and memorandums, including in terms of ensuring simplified entry of ships of the Russian Navy into the ports of African states, as well as education and training of military specialists;

  • increasing the intensity of air traffic with African countries, especially direct flights, which, in turn, will significantly increase tourist flows in both directions, attract Russian investment in various areas of activity of interested African countries, primarily in industry, education, tourism, construction and other areas, and will also enable Africans to visit Russia more actively;

  • improving the mechanisms of interdepartmental cooperation in the African direction;

  • active promotion of a positive image of Russia regarding cooperation with African states on social networks;

  • acceleration of the spread of the Russian language and knowledge about the culture of the peoples living in Russia in the region;

  • expanding cooperation between Russian and African expert and analytical centers;

  • further development of mutual exchange of cultural codes of countries in the form of cross-years: the Year of Africa in Russia, the Year of Russia in Africa;

  • improvement and promotion of the Russian model of security in the countries of the continent.

The presented ways of improving Russian-African relations generally coincide with the doctrinal provisions of Russia's foreign policy in this region. In accordance with the new Foreign Policy Concept, the Russian Federation intends to contribute to the further development of Africa as an original and influential center of world development, giving priority attention to:

  • supporting the sovereignty and independence of interested African States, including through security assistance, including food and energy security, as well as military and military-technical cooperation;

  • assistance in the settlement and overcoming of the consequences of armed conflicts in Africa, in particular interethnic and ethnic conflicts, advocating the primacy of African States in these efforts, based on their principle of "African solutions to African problems";

  • strengthening and deepening Russian-African cooperation in various spheres on a bilateral and multilateral basis, primarily within the framework of the African Union and the Russia–Africa Partnership Forum;

  • increasing the volume of trade and investment with African states and African integration structures (primarily the African Continental Free Trade Area, the African Export-Import Bank and other leading sub-regional organizations), including through the EAEU;

  • assistance and development of relations in the humanitarian sphere, including scientific cooperation, training of national personnel, strengthening of health care systems, provision of other assistance, promotion of intercultural dialogue, protection of traditional spiritual and moral values, and the right to freedom of religion[24].

On the African continent, the Russian Federation has its own interests in many areas. Russian companies are actively working in the field of exploration and extraction of minerals in many African countries, including those located in the Horn of Africa and in the Gulf of Guinea region[25].

Now Russia is confidently regaining the positions in Africa lost with the collapse of the Soviet Union, as a result of which there is a steady strategic catch-up effect, which is a process of comprehensively filling at an accelerated pace the gaps in Russia's cooperation with the countries of the continent that occupy friendly positions towards it. At the strategic level, in all acceptable spheres and formats, the process of assisting the elites of many African countries in strengthening their statehood, supporting them at all important international venues, primarily the UN, BRICS and the SCO, as well as stepping up activities to create a succession of generations of local elites and their further strong orientation towards Russia as a new geopolitical center of power in the emerging multipolar world.

The effect of strategic catch-up can become an important factor in expanding the scale of the military-political dimension in the military aspect of Russia's interaction with the countries of the African continent in time and space, which, in turn, is highly likely to cause a domino effect associated with a multiple increase in the number of African countries interested in developing mutually beneficial cooperation with the Russian Federation.

It should be emphasized that Russia's multilateral military-political activities on the African continent have been deployed and are being carried out not in the interests of obtaining any unilateral benefits for themselves in geopolitical terms, which many in the West are striving for, but in order to establish mutually beneficial cooperation with the countries of the continent in all spheres, a fair settlement of existing conflicts, strengthening their state institutions and maintaining a high level of security. without which it is impossible to ensure sustainable development.

Summing up the consideration of the military-political dimension of the African continent in the context of the foreign policy of the Russian Federation, the following main conclusions can be drawn.

First. At present, Russia is confidently regaining its positions in Africa, which were lost with the collapse of the Soviet Union. As a result, there is a strategic catch-up effect, which is the process of filling the gaps in Russia's interaction with African countries that occupy friendly positions towards the Russian Federation, in various spheres and formats in order to ensure further mutually beneficial cooperation.

Second. Russia has developed and is quite successfully implementing its own model for resolving the ongoing armed conflicts in Africa, which consists in the skillful use of the so-called smart power, which combines the components of "soft power" (creating an attractive image of the state, etc.) and "hard power".

Third. In order to develop further successful and fruitful cooperation between Russia and the countries of the African continent in the military/naval spheres, it is necessary to expand activities to conclude intergovernmental agreements/memoranda on multilateral cooperation, including in the naval field, international treaties on a simplified procedure for the entry of warships of the Russian Navy into the ports of interested African countries, and to strengthen comprehensive cooperation with the armed forces of friendly states on the continent, to step up efforts to train their military and law enforcement officers in various areas and specialties, including on countering new challenges and threats in their totality and interconnection.

Fourth. The prospects for mutually beneficial military-political cooperation between Russia and African countries largely depend on the timely disclosure of existing problems in this area, including those related to the unfriendly policy of Western countries, the development and purposeful implementation of optimal ways to solve them, which should become one of the priorities of the governments of the Russian Federation and interested African countries, as well as various scientific organizations specializing in data Issues. [Bolded Italics My Emphasis. All other emphasis original.]

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

[1] Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (background information). Available at: http://files.school-collection.edu.ru/dlrstore/11ea82bb-e33e-47ed-966d-de02b146e5d8/OBSE/index.html#:~:text=-%20military-political%20dimension%20-%20agreement,i%20technics%20i%20environmental%20environment (accessed: 01.11.2023).

[2] The politico-military dimension of the OSCE. Available at: https://www.eda.admin.ch/eda/en/fdfa/foreign-policy/international-organizations/osce/politisch-militaerische-dimension.html (accessed: 01.11.2023).

[3] Military-political dimension // Official website of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence-Building Measures in Asia. Astana. Available at: https://www.s-cica.org/ru/index.php?view=page&t=military-political-dimension (accessed: 01.11.2023).

[4] Trunov F. O. Military-political dimension of the modern crisis state of relations between the West and the Russian Federation. Available at: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/voenno-politicheskoe-izmerenie-sovremennogo-krizisnogo-sostoyaniya-otnosheniy-zapada-i-rf (accessed: 01.11.2023).

[5] The Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation. Paragraph 57. 2023. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/49090 (accessed: 26.02.2024).

[6] National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation. Subparagraph 9 of paragraph 101. 2021. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/47046 (accessed: 01.05.2024).

[7] Photo by Alexei Danichev, RIA Novosti. Available at: https://russianembassyza.mid.ru/ru/press-centre/news/sammit_rossiya_afrika_/(accessed: 15.06.2024).

[8] On the anniversary of the signing of the Political Agreement on Peace and Reconciliation between the Government of the Central African Republic and the main armed groups operating on the territory of this country // Website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. 06.02.2020. URL: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1426327/ (accessed: 01.05.2024).

[9] El País: NATO is exploring the idea of creating training missions in the Middle East and North Africa // TASS. Available at: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/20680157 (accessed: 01.05.2024).

[10] Filippov V.R. Politics of E. Macron in the African direction: assessments and forecasts // IMEMO RAS website. 2017. June 21. Available at: https://www.imemo.ru/special-rubrics/africa/text/politika-e-makrona-na-afrikanskom-napravlenii-otsenki-i-prognozi (accessed: 20.02.2024).

[11] Macron announced the end of the French military operation "Barkhane" in the Sahel // INTERFAX. November 9, 2022. Available at: https://www.interfax.ru/world/871747 (accessed: 25.02.2024).

[12] Dietrich T. En Centrafrique, un parfum de guerre froide. Available at: https://www.lopinion.fr/edition/international/en-centrafrique-parfum-guerre-froide-156731 (accessed: 24.02.2024).

[13] Bouessel Ch., Sari E. Pourquoi Vladimir Poutine avance ses pions en Centrafrique. Available at: https://www.nouvelobs.com/monde/20180504.OBS6191/pourquoi-vladimir-poutine-avance-ses-pions-en-centrafrique.html (accessed: 02.06.2024).

[14] The Prime Minister of Senegal criticized the French military bases on the territory of the country // African Initiative. 2023. 17 May 2024. Available at: https://afrinz.ru/2024/05/premer-senegala-raskritikoval-franczuzskie-voennye-bazy-na-territorii-strany/ (accessed: 02.06.2024).

[15] Ibidem.

[16] Lagnamiliko C. Afrique: des militaries prennent le pouvoir // Le Renouveau-RCA. 5 septembre 2023.

[17] Proceedings of the XI Moscow Conference on International Security. August 15, 2023 // Website of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. Available at: https://mil.ru/files/МКМБ%202023%20доклады.pdf (accessed: 02.06.2024).

[18] Ibid.

[19] Ourdan R. Soldats, mercenaires et conseillers russes se multiplient dans la capitale centrafricaine. Available at: https://www.lemonde.fr/afrique/article/2018/04/23/la-russie-installe-peu-a-peu-sa-presence-dans-la-capitale-centrafricaine_5289462_3212.html (accessed: 24.02.2024).

[20] Filippov V.R. The Central African Republic: Confrontation between the Kremlin and the Elysee Palace // Locus: People, Society, Cultures, Meanings. 2019. № 1. Pp. 124—142.

[21] Alexander Bikantov: Russia's partnership with the CAR in military-technical cooperation is actively developing // RIA NOVOSTI. 26.07.2023. URL: https://ria.ru/20230726/tsar-1886299501.html (accessed: 01.11.2023).

[22] Ibid.

[23] Kornilov V. The West Exposes the "Black Magic" of Russia // RIA NOVOSTI. 2023. July 31. Available at: https://ria.ru/20230731/sammit-1887234566.html?ysclid=lznp50bv71304796730 (accessed: 10.08.2024).

[24] The Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation. Paragraph 57.

[25] Mikhlin A.A., Molochny V.V. Prospects for the development of Russia's military cooperation with the countries of the African continent. 2020. № 3. Pp. 64, 65, 67.

For those who have closely followed the Russian-African Summits and other events that have occurred over the last five years, little of the above will be new. The key African problem besides impoverishment is the need to eradicate the Western supported terrorists so Africans can get on with the task of self-development, which begins with educational empowerment that Russia is very capable of providing. Combine that with establishing pan-African food security and there’s little Africans cannot do.

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Lavrov-Carlson Interview

by Karl Sanchez Published: December 6, 2024
written by Karl Sanchez 82 Mins / watch read
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KARL SANCHEZ
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Official English Transcript from MFA

Tucker Lavrov intervu

Carlson interviewing RF Foreign Minister S. Lavrov.


Many may have watched this interview live late yesterday, but for those who didn’t and those who prefer reading to watching, the following is the official English transcript published by the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The video available at the page shows Lavrov answering Carlson’s questions in English. I read the translated from Russian transcript last night but awaited the official English which I knew would be quickly produced. The main, serious question is asked at beginning and end—Russia is in a state of “hybrid war” with the Outlaw US Empire. Aside from a few errors Lavrov makes, there’s nothing that I consider crucially new. Those who watched Carlson’s interview with Putin will see the different styles as Putin sought to provide a different lesson from Lavrov’s. The interview lasted just over 81 minutes. As with the previous interview with Putin, the US/Western audience will have learned many facts their media has kept from them for decades. One historical fact Lavrov omitted was the USA’s involvement in keeping the Nazi OUN and OUP alive after WW2 and providing all support for its campaign of terror waged in Eastern Europe—facts documented and acknowledged by the West but barely known there. IMO, that merited a paragraph at minimum to document the fact of very longstanding interference and terrorism waged by the West in Ukraine. I will not provide any additional emphasis on the following:

Question: Minister Lavrov, thank you for doing this. Do you believe the United States and Russia are at war with each other right now?

Sergey Lavrov: I wouldn't say so. And in any case, this is not what we want. We would like to have normal relations with all our neighbors, of course, but generally with all countries especially with the great country like the United States. And President Vladimir Putin repeatedly expressed his respect for the American people, for the American history, for the American achievements in the world, and we don't see any reason why Russia and the United States cannot cooperate for the sake of the universe.

Question: But the United States is funding a conflict that you're involved in, of course, and now is allowing attacks on Russia itself. So that doesn't constitute war?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, we officially are not at war. But what is going on in Ukraine is that some people call it hybrid war. I would call it hybrid war as well, but it is obvious that the Ukrainians would not be able to do what they're doing with long-range modern weapons without direct participation of the American servicemen. And this is dangerous, no doubt about this.

We don't want to aggravate the situation, but since ATACMS and other long-range weapons are being used against mainland Russia as it were, we are sending signals. We hope that the last one, a couple of weeks ago, the signal with the new weapon system called Oreshnik was taken seriously.

However, we also know that some officials in the Pentagon and in other places, including NATO, started saying in the last few days something like that NATO is a defensive alliance, but sometimes you can strike first because the attack is the best defense. Some others in STRATCOM, Thomas Buchanan is his name, representative of STRATCOM, said something which allows for an eventuality of exchange of limited nuclear strikes.

And this kind of threats are really worrying. Because if they are following the logic which some Westerners have been pronouncing lately, that don't believe that Russia has red lines, they announced their red lines, these red lines are being moved again and again. This is a very serious mistake. That's what I would like to say in response to this question.

It is not us who started the war. Putin repeatedly said that we started the special military operation in order to end the war which Kiev regime was conducting against its own people in the parts of Donbass. And just in his latest statement, the President Putin clearly indicated that we are ready for any eventuality. But we strongly prefer peaceful solution through negotiations on the basis of respecting legitimate security interest of Russia, and on the basis of respecting the people who live in Ukraine, who still live in Ukraine being Russians, and their basic human rights, language rights, religious rights, have been exterminated by a series of legislation passed by the Ukrainian parliament. They started long before the special military operation. Since 2017, legislation was passed prohibiting Russian education in Russian, prohibiting Russian media operating in Ukraine, then prohibiting Ukrainian media working in Russian language, and the latest, of course there were also steps to cancel any cultural events in Russian, Russian books were thrown out of libraries and exterminated. The latest was the law prohibiting canonic Orthodox Church, Ukrainian Orthodox Church.

You know it's very interesting when people in the West say we want this conflict to be resolved on the basis of the UN Charter and respect for territorial integrity of Ukraine, and Russia must withdraw. The Secretary General of the United Nations says similar things. Recently his representative repeated that the conflict must be resolved on the basis of international law, UN Charter, General Assembly resolutions, while respecting territorial integrity of Ukraine. It's a misnomer, because if you want to respect the United Nations Charter, you have to respect it in its entirety. The United Nations Charter, among other things, says that all countries must respect equality of states and right of people for self-determination. And they also mentioned the United Nations General Assembly resolutions, and this is clear that what they mean is the series of resolutions which they passed after the beginning of this special military operation and which demand condemnation of Russia, Russia to get out of Ukraine territory in 1991 borders. But there are other United Nations General Assembly resolutions which were not voted, but which were consensual, and among them is a Declaration on principles of relations between states on the basis of the Charter. And it clearly says, by consensus, everybody must respect territorial integrity of states whose governments respect the right of people for self-determination, and because of that represent the entire population living on a given territory.

To argue that the people who came to power through military coup d'état in February 2014 represented Crimeans or the citizens of eastern and southern Ukraine is absolutely useless. It is obvious that Crimeans rejected the coup. They said, leave us alone, we don't want to have anything with you. So we did: Donbass, Crimeans held referendum, and they rejoined Russia. Donbass was declared by the putschists who came to power terrorist group. They were shelled, attacked by artillery. The war started, which was stopped in February 2015.

The Minsk agreements were signed. We were very sincerely interested in closing this drama by seeing Minsk agreements implemented fully. It was sabotaged by the government, which was established after the coup d'état in Ukraine. There was a demand that they enter into a direct dialogue with the people who did not accept the coup. There was a demand that they promote economic relations with that part of Ukraine. And so on and so forth. None of this was done.

The people in Kiev were saying we would never talk to them directly. And this is in spite of the fact that the demand to talk to them directly was endorsed by the Security Council. And putschists said they are terrorists, we would be fighting them, and they would be dying in cellars because we are stronger.

Had the coup in February 2014 had it not happened and the deal which was reached the day before between the then president and the opposition implemented, Ukraine would have stayed one piece by now with Crimea in it. It's absolutely clear. They did not deliver on the deal. Instead they staged the coup. The deal, by the way, provided for creation of a government of national unity in February 2014, and holding early elections, which the then president would have lost. Everybody knew that. But they were impatient and took the government buildings next morning. They went to this Maidan Square and announced that they created the government of the winners. Compare the government of national unity to prepare for elections and the government of the winners.

How can the people whom they, in their view, defeated, how can they pretend that they respect the authorities in Kiev? You know, the right for self-determination is the international legal basis for decolonization process, which took place in Africa on the basis of this charter principle, the right for self-determination. The people in the colonies, they never treated the colonial powers, colonial masters, as somebody who represent them, as somebody whom they want to see in the structures which govern those lands. By the same token, the people in east and south of Ukraine, people in Donbass and Novorossiya, they don't consider the Zelensky regime as something which represents their interests. How can they do that when their culture, their language, their traditions, their religion, all this was prohibited?

And the last point is that if we speak about the UN Charter, resolutions, international law, the very first article of the UN Charter, which the West never, never recalls in the Ukrainian context, says, "Respect human rights of everybody, irrespective of race, gender, language, or religion."

Take any conflict. The United States, UK, Brussels, they would interfere, saying, "Oh, human rights have been grossly violated. We must restore the human rights in such and such territory." On Ukraine, never, ever they mumbled the words "human rights," seeing these human rights for the Russian and Russian-speaking population being totally exterminated by law. So when people say, "Let's resolve the conflict on the basis of the Charter," - yes. But don't forget that the Charter is not only about territorial integrity. And territorial integrity must be respected only if the governments are legitimate and if they respect the rights of their own people.

Question: I want to go back to what you said a moment ago about the introduction or the unveiling of the hypersonic weapons system that you said was a signal to the West. What signal exactly? I think many Americans are not even aware that this happened. What message were you sending by showing it to the world?


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Exclusive: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov Describes the War With the US and How to End It

Tucker Carlson

Premiered Dec 6, 2024  #TuckerCarlson #SergeyLavrov #VladimirPutin
Russia’s longtime foreign minister describes the war with the United States and how to end it.

Sergey Lavrov: Well, the message is that you, I mean the United States, and the allies of the United States who also provide this long-range weapons to the Kiev regime, they must understand that we would be ready to use any means not to allow them to succeed in what they call strategic defeat of Russia.

They fight for keeping the hegemony over the world on any country, any region, any continent. We fight for our legitimate security interests. They say, for example, 1991 borders. Lindsey Graham, who visited some time ago Vladimir Zelensky for another talk, he bluntly, in his presence said that Ukraine is very rich with rare earth metals and they cannot leave this richness to the Russians. We must take it. We fight.

So they fight for the regime which is ready to sell or to give to the West all the natural and human resources. We fight for the people who have been living on these lands, whose ancestors were actually developing those lands, building cities, building factories for centuries and centuries. We care about people, not about natural resources which somebody in the United States would like to keep and to have Ukrainians just as servants sitting on these natural resources.

So the message which we wanted to send by testing in real action this hypersonic system is that we will be ready to do anything to defend our legitimate interests.

We hate even to think about war with the United States, which will take nuclear character. Our military doctrine says that the most important thing is to avoid a nuclear war. And it was us, by the way, who initiated in January 2022 the message, the joint statement by the leaders of the five permanent members of the Security Council saying that we will do anything to avoid confrontation between us, acknowledging and respecting each other's security interests and concerns. This was our initiative.

And the security interests of Russia were totally ignored when they rejected about the same time the proposal to conclude a treaty on security guarantees for Russia, for Ukraine in the context of coexistence and in the context where Ukraine would not be ever member of NATO or any other military bloc. These security interests of Russia were presented to the West, to NATO and to the United States in December 2021. We discussed them several times, including during my meeting with Antony Blinken in Geneva in January 2022. And this was rejected.

So we would certainly like to avoid any misunderstanding. And since the people, some people in Washington and some people in London, in Brussels, seemed to be not very capable to understand, we will send additional messages if they don't draw necessary conclusions.

Question: The fact that we're having a conversation about a potential nuclear exchange and it's real thought I'd ever see.

And it raises the question, how much back-channel dialogue is there between Russia and the United States? Has there been for the last two and a half years? Is there any conversation ongoing?

Sergey Lavrov: There are several channels, but mostly on exchange of people who serve terms in Russia and in the United States. There were several swaps.

There are also channels which are not advertised or publicized, but basically the Americans send through these channels the same message which they send publicly. You have to stop, you have to accept the way which will be based on the Ukrainian needs and position. They support this absolutely pointless ‘peace formula’ by Vladimir Zelensky, which was additioned recently by ‘victory plan’. They held several series of meetings, Copenhagen format, Burgenstock. And they brag that first half of next year they will convene another conference and they will graciously invite Russia that time. And then Russia would be presented an ultimatum.

All this is seriously repeated through various confidential channels. Now we hear something different, including Vladimir Zelensky's statements that we can stop now at the line of engagement, line of contact. The Ukrainian government will be admitted to NATO, but NATO guarantees at this stage would cover only the territory controlled by the government, and the rest would be subject to negotiations. But the end result of these negotiations must be total withdrawal of Russia from Russian soil, basically. Leaving Russian people to the Nazi regime, which exterminated all the rights of the Russian and Russian-speaking citizens of their own country.

Question: If I could just go back to the question of nuclear exchange. So there is no mechanism by which the leaders of Russia and the United States can speak to each other to avoid the kind of misunderstanding that could kill hundreds of millions of people.

Sergey Lavrov: No. We have this channel which is automatically engaged when ballistic missile launch is taking place.

As regards this Oreshnik hypersonic mid-range ballistic missile. 30 minutes in advance the system sent the message to the United States. They knew that this was the case and that they don't mistake it for anything bigger and real dangerous.

Question: I think the system sounds very dangerous.

Sergey Lavrov: Well, it was a test launch, you know.

Question: Yes. Oh, you're speaking of the test, okay. But I just wonder how worried you are that, considering there doesn't seem to be a lot of conversation between the two countries. Both sides are speaking about exterminating the other's populations. That this could somehow get out of control in a very short period and no one could stop it. It seems incredibly reckless.

Sergey Lavrov: No, we are not talking about exterminating anybody's population. We did not start this war. We have been, for years and years and years, sending warnings that pushing NATO closer and closer to our borders is going to create a problem.

In 2007, Putin started to explain to the people who seemed to be overtaken by the ‘end of history’ and being dominant, no challenge, and so on and so forth.

And of course, when the coup took place, the Americans did not hide that they were behind it. There is a conversation between Victoria Nuland and the then American ambassador in Kiev when they discuss personalities to be included in the new government after the coup. The figure of $5 billion spent on Ukraine after independence was mentioned as the guarantee that everything would be like the Americans want.

So we don't have any intention to exterminate Ukrainian people. They are brothers and sisters to the Russian people.

Question: How many have died so far, do you think, on both sides?

Sergey Lavrov: It is not disclosed by Ukrainians. Vladimir Zelensky was saying that it is much less than 80,000 persons on Ukrainian side.

But there is one very reliable figure. In Palestine during one year after the Israelis started their operation in response to this terrorist attack, which we condemned. And this operation, of course, acquired the proportion of collective punishment, which is against international humanitarian law as well. So during one year after the operation started in Palestine, the number of Palestinian civilians killed is estimated at 45,000. This is almost twice as many as the number of civilians on both sides of Ukrainian conflict who died during ten years after the coup. One year and ten years. So it is a tragedy in Ukraine. It's a disaster in Palestine, but we never, ever had as our goal killing people.

And the Ukrainian regime did. The head of the office of Vladimir Zelensky once said that we will make sure that cities like Kharkov, Nikolaev will forget what Russian means at all. Another guy in his office stated that Ukrainians must exterminate Russians through law or, if necessary, physically. Ukrainian former ambassador to Kazakhstan Pyotr Vrublevsky became famous when giving an interview and looking into the camera (being recorded and broadcast) he said: ”Our main task is to kill as many Russians as we can so that our children have less things to do”. And statements like this are all over the vocabulary of the regime.

Question: How many Russians in Russia have been killed since February of 2022?

Sergey Lavrov: It's not for me to disclose this information. In the time of military operations special rules exist. Our ministry of defense follows these rules.

But there is a very interesting fact that when Vladimir Zelensky was playing not in international arena, but at his comedy club or whatever it is called, he was (there are videos from that period) bluntly defending the Russian language. He was saying: “What is wrong with Russian language? I speak Russian. Russians are our neighbors. Russian is one of our languages”. And get lost, he said, to those who wanted to attack the Russian language and Russian culture. When Vladimir Zelensky became president, he changed very fast.

Before the military operation, in September 2021, he was interviewed, and at that time he was conducting war against Donbass in violation of the Minsk agreements. And the interviewer asked him what he thought about the people on the other side of the line of contact. He answered very thoughtfully there are people and there are species. And if you, living in Ukraine, feel associated with the Russian culture, my advice to you, for the sake of your kids, for the sake of your grandkids, get out to Russia.

And if this guy wants to bring Russians and people of Russian culture back under his territorial integrity, I mean, it shows that he's not adequate.

Question: So, what are the terms under which Russia would cease hostilities? What are you asking for?

Sergey Lavrov: Ten years ago, in February 2014, we were asking only for the deal between the president and the opposition to have government of national unity, to hold early elections, to be implemented. The deal was signed. And we were asking for the implementation of this deal. They were absolutely impatient and aggressive. And they were, of course, pushed, I have no slightest doubt, by the Americans, because if Victoria Nuland and the U.S. ambassador agreed the composition of the government, why wait for five months to hold early elections?

The next time we were in favor of something was when the Minsk Agreements were signed. I was there. The negotiations lasted for 17 hours (well, Crimea was lost by that time because of referendum). And nobody, including my colleague John Kerry, meeting with us, nobody in the West was worry about the issue of Crimea. Everybody was concentrated on Donbass. And the Minsk Agreements provided for territorial integrity of Ukraine, minus Crimea (this was not even raised) and a special status for a very tiny part of Donbass, not for the entire Donbass, not for Novorossiya at all. Part of Donbass, under these Minsk Agreements, endorsed by the Security Council, should have the right to speak Russian language, to teach Russian language, to study in Russian, to have local law enforcement (like in the states of U.S.), to be consulted when judges and prosecutors are appointed by the central authority, and to have some facilitated economic connections with neighboring regions of Russia. That's it. Something which President Macron promised to give to Corsica and still is considering how to do this.

And when these agreements were sabotaged all along by Piotr Poroshenko and then by Vladimir Zelensky. Both of them, by the way, came to presidency, running on the promise of peace. And both of them lied. So when these Minsk Agreements were sabotaged to the extent that we saw the attempts to take this tiny part of Donbass by force, and we, as President Putin explained, at that time, we suggested these security arrangements to NATO and the United States, which was rejected. And when the Plan B was launched by Ukraine and its sponsors, trying to take this part of Donbass by force, it was then that we launched the special military operation.

Had they implemented the Minsk Agreements Ukraine would be one piece, minus Crimea. But even then, when Ukrainians, after we started the operation, suggested to negotiate, we agreed, there were several rounds in Belarus, and one later they moved to Istanbul. And in Istanbul, Ukrainian delegation put a paper on the table saying: "Those are the principles on which we are ready to agree." And we accepted those principles.

Question: The Minsk Principles?

Sergey Lavrov: No. The Istanbul Principles. It was April 2022.

Question: Right.

Sergey Lavrov: Which was: no NATO, but security guarantees to Ukraine, collectively provided with the participation of Russia. And these security guarantees would not cover Crimea or the east of Ukraine. It was their proposal. And it was initialed. And the head of the Ukrainian delegation in Istanbul, who is now the chair of the Vladimir Zelensky faction in the parliament, he recently (a few months ago) in an interview, confirmed that this was the case. And on the basis of these principles, we were ready to draft a treaty.

But then this gentleman who headed the Ukrainian delegation in Istanbul said that Boris Johnson visited and told them to continue to fight. Then there was…

Question: But Boris Johnson, on behalf of…

Sergey Lavrov: He said no. But the guy who initialed the paper, he said it was Boris Johnson. Other people say it was President Putin who ruined the deal because of the massacre in Bucha. But they never mentioned any more massacre in Bucha. I do. And we do.

In a sense, they are on the defensive. Several times in the United Nations Security Council, sitting at the table with Antonio Guterres, I (last year and this year) at the General Assembly, I raised the issue of Bucha and said, guys, it is strange that you are silent about Bucha because you were very vocal when BBC team found itself on the street where the bodies were located. I inquired, can we get the names of the persons whose bodies were broadcast by BBC? Total silence. I addressed Antonio Guterres personally in the presence of the Security Council members. He did not respond. Then at my press conference in New York after the end of the General Assembly last September, I asked all the correspondents: guys, you are journalists. Maybe you're not an investigative journalists but journalists normally are interested to get the truth. And Bucha thing, which was played all over the media outlets condemning Russia, is not of any interest to anyone - politicians, UN officials. And now even journalists. I asked when I talked to them in September, please, as professional people, try to get the names of those whose bodies were shown in Bucha. No answer.

Just like we don't have any answer to the question, where is the results of medical analysis of Alexey Navalny, who died recently, but who was treated in Germany in the fall of 2020. When he fell bad on a plane over Russia, the plane landed. He was treated by the Russian doctors in Siberia. Then the Germans wanted to take him. We immediately allowed the plane to come. They took him. In less than 24 hours, he was in Germany. And then the Germans continued to say that we poisoned him. And now the analysis confirmed that he was poisoned. We asked for the test results to be given to us. They said, no, we give it to the organization on chemical weapons. We went to this organization, we are members, and we said, can you show to us, because this is our citizen, we are accused of having poisoned him. They said that the Germans told us not to give it to you. They found nothing in the civilian hospital, and the announcement that he was poisoned was made after he was treated in the military Bundeswehr hospital. So it seems that this secret is not going…

Question: So how did Navalny die?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, he died serving the term in Russia. As far as it was reported, every now and then he felt not well. Which was another reason why we continued to ask the Germans: can you show us the results which you found? Because we did not find what they found. And what they did to him, I don't know.

Question: What the Germans did to him?

Sergey Lavrov: Yeah, because they don't explain to anybody, including us. Or maybe they explain to the Americans. Maybe this is credible.

But they never told us how they treated him, what they found, and what methods they were using.

Question: How do you think he died?

Sergey Lavrov: I am not a doctor. But for anybody to guess, even for the doctors to try to guess, they need to have information. And if the person was taken to Germany to be treated after he had been poisoned, the results of the tests cannot be secret.

We still cannot get anything credible on the fate of Skripals - Sergei Skripal and his daughter. The information is not provided to us. He is our citizen, she is our citizen. We have all the rights and the conventions which the UK is party to, to get information.

Question: Why do you think that Boris Johnson, former Prime Minister of the UK, would have stopped the peace process in Istanbul? On whose behalf was he doing that?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, I met with him a couple of times, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was motivated by some immediate desire or by some long-term strategy. He is not very predictable.

Question: But do you think he was acting on behalf of the U.S. government, on behalf of the Biden administration, or he was doing this independently.

Sergey Lavrov: I don't know. And I wouldn't guess. The fact that the Americans and the Brits are leading in this "situation" is obvious.

Now it is becoming also clear that there is a fatigue in some capitals, and there are talks every now and then that the Americans would like to leave it with the Europeans and to concentrate on something more important. I wouldn't guess.

We would be judging by specific steps. It's obvious, though, that the Biden administration would like to leave a legacy to the Trump administration as bad as they can.

And similar to what Barack Obama did to Donald Trump during his first term. Then late December 2016, President Obama expelled Russian diplomats. Just very late December. 120 persons with family members. Did it on purpose. Demanded them leave on the day when there was no direct flight from Washington to Moscow. So they had to move to New York by buses with all their luggage, with children, and so on and so forth.

And at the same time, President Obama announced the arrest of pieces of diplomatic property of Russia. And we still never were able to come and see what is the state of this Russian property.

Question: What was the property?

Sergey Lavrov: Diplomatic. They never allowed us to come and see it though under all conventions. They just say that these pieces we don't consider as being covered by diplomatic immunity, which is a unilateral decision, never substantiated by any international court.

Question: So you believe the Biden administration is doing something similar again to the incoming Trump administration.

Sergey Lavrov: Because that episode with the expulsion and the seizure of property certainly did not create the promising ground for beginning of our relations with the Trump administration. So I think they're doing the same.

Question: But this time President Trump was elected on the explicit promise to bring an end to the war in Ukraine. So I mean, he said that in appearance after appearance. So given that, there is hope for a resolution, it sounds like. What are the terms to which you'd agree?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, the terms, I basically alluded to them. When President Putin spoke in this Ministry of Foreign Affaires on the 14th of June he once again reiterated that we were ready to negotiate on the basis of the principles which were agreed in Istanbul and rejected by Boris Johnson, according to the statement of the head of the Ukrainian delegation.

The key principle is non-block status of Ukraine. And we would be ready to be part of the group of countries who would provide collective security guarantees to Ukraine.

Question: But no NATO?

Sergey Lavrov: No NATO. Absolutely. No military bases, no military exercises on the Ukrainian soil with participation of foreign troops. And this is something which he reiterated. But of course, he said, it was April 2022, now some time has passed, and the realities on the ground would have to be taken into account and accepted.

The realities on the ground are not only the line of contact, but also the changes in the Russian Constitution after referendum was held in Donetsk, Lugansk republics and Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. And they are now part of the Russian Federation, according to the Constitution. And this is a reality.

And of course, we cannot tolerate a deal which would keep the legislation which are prohibiting Russian language, Russian media, Russian culture, Ukrainian Orthodox Church, because it is a violation of the obligations of Ukraine under the UN Charter, and something must be done about it. And the fact that the West (since this russophobic legislative offensive started in 2017) was totally silent and it is silent until now, of course we would have to pay attention to this in a very special way.

Question: Would sanctions against Russia be a condition?

Sergey Lavrov: You know, I would say probably many people in Russia would like to make it a condition. But the more we live under sanctions, the more we understand that it is better to rely on yourself, and to develop mechanisms, platforms for cooperation with ‘normal’ countries who are not unfriendly to you, and don't mix economic interests and policies and especially politics. And we learned a lot after the sanctions started.

The sanctions started under President Obama. They continued in a very big way under the first term of Donald Trump. And these sanctions under the Biden administration are absolutely unprecedented.

But what doesn't kill you makes you stronger, you know. They would never kill us, so they are making us stronger.

Question: And driving Russia east. And so the vision that I think same policymakers in Washington had 20 years ago is why not to bring Russia into a Western bloc, sort of as a balance against the rising east. But it doesn't seem like that. Do you think that's still possible?

Sergey Lavrov: I don't think so. When recently President Putin was speaking at Valdai Club to politologists and experts, he said we would never be back at the situation of early 2022. That's when he realized (for himself, apparently, not only he, but he spoke publicly about this) that all attempts to be on equal terms with the West have failed.

It started after the demise of the Soviet Union. There was euphoria, we are now part of the ‘liberal world’, democratic world, ‘end of history’. But very soon it became clear to most of the Russians that in the 1990s we were treated as - at best as junior partner, maybe not even as a partner, - but as a place where the West can organize things like it wants, striking deals with oligarchs, buying resources and assets. And then probably the Americans decided that Russia is in their pocket. Boris Yeltsin, Bill Clinton, buddies, laughing, joking.

But even at the end of Boris Yeltsin's term, he started to contemplate that this was not something he wanted for Russia. And I think this was very obvious when he appointed Vladimir Putin prime minister, and then left earlier, and blessed Vladimir Putin as his successor for the elections which were coming and which Putin won.

But when Vladimir Putin became president, he was very much open to cooperation with the West. And he mentions about this quite regularly when he speaks with interviewers or at some international events.

I was present when he met with George Bush Jr., with Barack Obama. Well, after the meeting of NATO in Bucharest, which was followed by NATO-Russia summit meeting in 2008, when they announced that Georgia and Ukraine will be in NATO. And then they tried to sell it to us. We asked: why? There was lunch and President Putin asked what was the reason for this? Good question. And they said this is something which is not obligatory. How come?

Well to start the process of joining NATO, you need a formal invitation. And this is a slogan - Ukraine and Georgia will be in NATO. But this slogan became obsession for some people in Tbilisi first, when Mikhail Saakashvili lost his senses and started the war against his own people under the protection of OSCE mission with the Russian peacekeepers on the ground. And the fact that he launched this was confirmed by the European Union investigation, which they launched and which concluded that he gave the order to start.

And for Ukrainians, it took a bit longer. They were cultivating this pro-Western mood. Well, pro-Western is not bad, basically. Pro-Eastern is also not bad. What is bad is that you tell people, either/or, either you go with me or you're my enemy.

What happened before the coup in Ukraine? In 2013, the president of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych negotiated with the European Union some association agreement which would nullify tariffs on most of the Ukrainian goods to the European Union and the other way around. And at some point, when he was meeting with Russian counterparts, we told him, Ukraine was part of the free trade area of the Commonwealth of Independent States. No tariffs for everybody. And we, Russia, negotiated agreement with World Trade Organization for some 17 years, mostly because we bargained with European Union. And we achieved some protection for many of our sectors, agriculture and some others. We explained to the Ukrainians that if you go zero in your trade with European Union, we would have to protect our customs border with Ukraine. Otherwise the zero tariff European goods would flood and would be hurting our industries, which we tried to protect and agreed for some protection. And we suggested to the European Union: guys, Ukraine is our common neighbor. You want to have better trade with Ukraine. We want the same. Ukraine want to have markets both in Europe and in Russia. Why don't we sit three of us and discuss it like grownups? The head of the European Commission was the Portuguese José Manuel Barroso. He responded it's none of your business what we do with Ukraine. We, for example, the European Union, we don't ask you to discuss with us your trade with Canada. Absolutely arrogant answer.

And then the president of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych convened his experts. And they said, yes, it would be not very good if we have opened the border with European Union, but the customs border with Russia would be closed. And they would be checking, you know, what is coming. So that the Russian market is not affected.

So he announced in November 2013 that he cannot sign the deal immediately, and he asked the European Union to postpone it for until next year. That was the trigger for Maidan, which was immediately thrown up and ended by the coup.

So my point is that this either/or. Actually, the first coup took place in 2004, when after second round of elections, the same Viktor Yanukovych won presidency. The West raised hell and put pressure on the Constitutional Court of Ukraine to rule that there must be a third round. The Constitution of Ukraine says there may be only two rounds. But the Constitutional Court, under the pressure of the West, violated the Constitution for the first time then. And pro-Western candidate was chosen. At that time, when all this was taking place and boiling, the European leaders were publicly saying Ukrainian people must decide: are they with us or with Russia?

Question: But it is the way that big countries behave. I mean, there are certain orbits, and now it's BRICS versus NATO, U.S. versus China. And it sounds like you're saying the Russian-Chinese alliance is permanent.

Sergey Lavrov: Well, we are neighbors. And of course geography is very important.

Question: But you're also neighbors with Western Europe. And you're part of it, in effect.

Sergey Lavrov: Through Ukraine the Western Europe wants to come to our borders.

And there were plans that were discussed almost openly to put British naval bases on the Sea of Azov. Crimea was eyed. Dreaming about creating NATO base in Crimea and so on and so forth.

Look, we have been very friendly with Finland, for example. Overnight, the Finns came back to the early years of preparation for World War II when they were best allies of Hitler. And all this neutrality, all this friendship, going to sauna together, playing hockey together, all this disappeared overnight. So maybe this was deep in their hearts, and the neutrality was burdening them, and niceties were burdening for them. I don't know.

Question: They're mad about the ‘winter war’. That's totally possible.

Can you negotiate with Zelensky? You've pointed out that he has exceeded his term. He's not democratically elected president of Ukraine anymore. So do you consider him a suitable partner for negotiations?

Sergey Lavrov: President Putin addressed many times this issue as well. In September 2022, during the first year of the special military operation, Vladimir Zelensky, in his conviction that he would be dictating the terms of the situation also to the West, he signed a decree prohibiting any negotiations with Putin's government.

During public events after that episode, President Vladimir Putin is asked why Russia is not ready for negotiations. He said, don't turn it upside down. We are ready for negotiations, provided it will be based on the balance of interest, -tomorrow. But Vladimir Zelensky signed this decree prohibiting negotiations. For starters, why don't you tell him to cancel it publicly? This will be a signal that he wants negotiations. Instead, Vladimir Zelensky invented his ‘peace formula’. Lately, it was complemented by a ‘victory plan’. They keep saying, we know what they say when they meet with European Union ambassadors and in other formats, they say no deal unless the deal is on our terms.

I mentioned to you that they are planning now the second summit on the basis of this peace formula, and they don't shy away from saying, we will invite Russia to put in front of it the deal which we agreed already with the West.

When our Western colleagues sometimes say nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine in effect, this implies that anything about Russia without Russia. Because they discuss what kind of conditions we must accept.

By the way, recently they already violated, tacitly, the concept nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine. There are passes, there are messages. They know our position. We are not playing double game. What President Putin announced is the goal of our operation. It's fair. It's fully in line with the United Nations Charter. First of all, the rights: language rights, minority rights, national minority rights, religious rights, and it's fully in line with OSCE principles.

There is an Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe which is still alive. And well, several summits of this organization clearly stated that security must be indivisible, that nobody should expand his security at the expense of security of others, and that, most important, no organization in Euro-Atlantic space shall claim dominance. This was last time it was confirmed by OSCE in 2010.

NATO was doing exactly the opposite. So we have legitimacy in our position. No NATO on our doorsteps because OSCE agreed that this should not be the case if it hurts us. And please restore the rights of Russians.

Question: Who do you think has been making foreign policy decisions in the United States? This is a question in the United States. Who is making these decisions?

Sergey Lavrov: I wouldn't guess. I haven't seen Antony Blinken for years. When it was the last time? Two years ago, I think, at the G20 summit. Was it in Rome or somewhere? In the margins. I was representing President Putin there. His assistant came up to me during a meeting and said that Antony wants to talk just for 10 minutes. I left the room. We shook hands, and he said something about the need to de-escalate and so on and so forth. I hope he's not going to be angry with me since I am disclosing this. But we were meeting in front of many people present in the room, and I said, "We don't want to escalate. You want to inflict strategic defeat upon Russia." He said, "No. It is not strategic defeat globally. It is only in Ukraine."

Question: You've not spoken to him since?

Sergey Lavrov: No.

Question: Have you spoken to any officials in the Biden administration since then?

Sergey Lavrov: I don't want to ruin their career.

Question: But have you had meaningful conversations?

Sergey Lavrov: No. Not at all.

When I met in international events one or another person whom I know, an American, some of them say hello, some of them exchange a few words, but I never impose myself.

It's becoming contagious when somebody sees an American talking to me or a European talking to me. Europeans are running away when they see me. During the last G20 meeting, it was ridiculous. Grown-up people, mature people. They behave like kids. So childish. Unbelievable.

Question: So you said that when in 2016, in December, the final moments of the Biden administration, Biden made the relationship between the United States and Russia more difficult.

Sergey Lavrov: Obama. Biden was vice-president.

Question: Exactly. I'm so sorry.

The Obama administration left a bunch of bombs, basically, for the incoming Trump administration.

In the last month since the election, you have all sorts of things going on politically in bordering states in this region. In Georgia, in Belarus, in Romania, and then, of course, most dramatically in Syria, you have turmoil.

Does this seem like part of an effort by the United States to make the resolution more difficult?

Sergey Lavrov: There is nothing new, frankly. Because the U.S., historically, in foreign policy, was motivated by making some trouble and then to see if they can fish in the muddy water.

Iraqi aggression, Libyan adventure - ruining the state, basically. Fleeing from Afghanistan. Now trying to get back through the back door, using the United Nations to organize some ‘event’ where the U.S. can be present, in spite of the fact that they left Afghanistan in very bad shape and arrested money and don't want to give it back.

I think this is, if you analyze the American foreign policy steps, adventures, most of them are the right word - the pattern. They create some trouble, and then they see how to use it.

When the OSCE monitors elections, when it used to monitor elections in Russia, they would always be very negative, and in other countries as well, Belarus, Kazakhstan. This time, in Georgia, the monitoring mission of OSCE presented a positive report. And it is being ignored.

So when you need endorsement of the procedures, you do it when you like the results of the election. If you don't like the results of elections, you ignore it.

It's like when the United States and other Western countries recognized unilateral declaration of independence of Kosovo, they said this is the self-determination being implemented. There was no referendum in Kosovo - unilateral declaration of independence. By the way, after that the Serbs approached International Court of Justice, which ruled that (well, normally they are not very specific in their judgment, but they ruled) that when part of a territory declares independence, it is not necessarily to be agreed with the central authorities.

And when a few years later, Crimeans were holding referendum with invitation of many international observers, not from international organizations, but from parliamentarians in Europe, in Asia, in post-Soviet space, they said, no, we cannot accept this because this is violation of territorial integrity.

You know, you pick and choose. The UN Charter is not a menu. You have to respect it in all its entirety.

Question: So who's paying the rebels who've taken parts of Aleppo? Is the Assad government in danger of falling? What is happening exactly, in your view, in Syria?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, we had a deal when this crisis started. We organized the Astana process (Russia, Turkey and Iran). We meet regularly. Another meeting is being planned before the end of the year or early next year, to discuss the situation on the ground.

The rules of the game are to help Syrians to come to terms with each other and to prevent separatist threats from getting strong. That's what the Americans are doing in the east of Syria when they groom some Kurdish separatists using the profits from oil and grain sold, the resources which they occupy.

This Astana format is a useful combination of players, if you wish. We are very much concerned. And when this happened, with Aleppo and surroundings, I had a conversation with the Turkish minister of foreign affairs and with Iranian colleague. We agreed to try to meet this week. Hopefully in Doha at the margins of this international conference. We would like to discuss the need to come back to strict implementation of the deals on Idlib area, because Idlib de-escalation zone was the place from where the terrorists moved to take Aleppo. The arrangements reached in 2019 and 2020 provided for our Turkish friends to control the situation in the Idlib de-escalation zone and to separate the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (former Nusra) from the opposition, which is non-terrorist and which cooperates with Turkey.

And another deal was the opening of M5 route from Damascus to Aleppo, which is also now taken completely by the terrorists. So we, as ministers of foreign affairs, would discuss the situation, hopefully, this coming Friday. And the military of all three countries and the security people are in contact with each other.

Question: But the Islamist groups, the terrorists you just described, who is backing them?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, we have some information. We would like to discuss with all our partners in this process the way to cut the channels of financing and arming them.

The information which is being floated and it's in the public domain mentions among others the Americans, the Brits. Some people say that Israel is interested in making this situation aggravate. So that Gaza is not under very close scrutiny. It's a complicated game. Many actors are involved. I hope that the context which we are planning for this week will help stabilize the situation.

Question: What do you think of Donald Trump?

Sergey Lavrov: I met him several times when he was having meetings with President Putin and when he received me twice in the Oval Office when I was visiting for bilateral talks.

Well, I think he's a very strong person. A person who wants results. Who doesn't like procrastination on anything. This is my impression. He's very friendly in discussions. But this does not mean that he's pro-Russian as some people try to present him. The amount of sanctions we received under the Trump administration was very big.

We respect any choice which is made by the people when they vote. We respect the choice of American people. As President Putin said, we are and we have been open all along to the contacts with the current administration. We hope that when Donald Trump is inaugurated, we will understand. The ball, as President Putin said, is on their side. We never severed our contacts, our ties in the economy, trade, security, anything.

Question: My final question is: how sincerely worried are you about an escalation in conflict between Russia and the United States, knowing what you do?

Sergey Lavrov: Well, we started with this question, more or less.

Question: It seems the central question.

Sergey Lavrov: Yes. The Europeans whisper to each other that it is not for Vladimir Zelensky to dictate the terms of the deal - it's for the U.S. and Russia.

I don't think we should be presenting our relations as two guys decide for everybody. Not at all. It is not our style.

We prefer the manners which dominate in BRICS, in Shanghai Cooperation Organization, where the UN Charter principle of sovereign equality of states is really embodied.

The U.S. is not used to respect sovereign equality of states. When the U.S. says we cannot allow Russia to win on Ukraine because this would undermine our rules-based world order. And rules-based world order is American domination.

Now, by the way, NATO, at least under Biden administration, is eyeing the entire Eurasian continent, Indo-Pacific strategies, South China Sea, East China Sea, is already on NATO agenda. NATO is moving infrastructure there. AUKUS, building ‘quartet’ Indo-Pacific Four as they call it (Japan, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea). U.S., South Korea, and Japan are building military alliance with some nuclear components. And Jens Stoltenberg, the former Secretary General of NATO, last year after the summit he said that the Euro-Atlantic security is indivisible from Indo-Pacific security. When he was asked does it mean that you go beyond territorial defense, he answered - no, it doesn't go beyond territorial defense, but to defend our territory, we need to be present there. This element of preemption is more and more present.

We don't want war with anybody. And as I said, five nuclear states declared at the top level in January 2022 that we don't want confrontation with each other and that we shall respect each other's security interests and concerns. And it also stated nuclear war can never be won, and therefore nuclear war is not possible.

And the same was reiterated bilaterally between Russia and the United States, Putin-Biden, when they met in 2021 in Geneva in June. Basically, they reproduced the statement by Reagan-Gorbachev of 1987 ‘no nuclear war’. And this is absolutely in our vital interest, and we hope that this is also in vital interest of the United States.

I say so because some time ago John Kirby, who is the White House communications coordinator, was answering questions about escalation and about possibility of nuclear weapons being employed. And he said, "Oh, no, we don't want escalation because then if there is some nuclear element, then our European allies would suffer." So even mentally, he excludes that the United States can suffer. And this is something which makes the situation a bit risky. It might – if this mentality prevails, then some reckless steps would be taken, and this is bad.

Question: What you're saying is American policy makers imagine there could be a nuclear exchange that doesn't directly affect the United States, and you're saying that's not true.

Sergey Lavrov: That's what I said, yes. But professionals in deterrence, nuclear deterrence policy, they know very well that it's a very dangerous game. And to speak about limited exchange of nuclear strikes is an invitation to disaster, which we don't want to have.

IMO, the last point made by Lavrov is the one meriting great emphasis along with Carlson’s proper rephrasing of it. The two ponds no longer protect the Outlaw US Empire from suffering vast damage in a nuclear war; and in-essence, there’s no such thing as a “limited nuclear exchange.” American Generals and Admirals saying such is possible display their utter ignorance of the current balance of forces and the USA’s complete lack of any ABM capability while Russia has displayed its continuously before and during the SMO. With its hypersonics, Russia has attained what’s known as First-Strike Capability but has pledged not to use it unless forced—and all the “messages” are related to that point, being forced. The next big issue IMO is the Empire’s need to prove it’s agreement capable, and I have no idea what Russia would need to validate that change in behavior.


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The Dog That Barked in the Night

by Karl Sanchez Published: November 13, 2024
written by Karl Sanchez 8 minutes read
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The Dog That Barked in the Night

Revelation of a smoking gun for LIHOP 7 October

Sociopathic war criminal Benjamin Netanyahu doing his theatrics before an appreciative audience, the utterly deferential US Congress.


Before I mirror what Moon of Alabama’s Bernhard published today, here’s my short comment related to it:

Excellent sleuthing, b. The SIM card activations were the dog that barked in the night that was purposefully ignored. That act raises another question not yet asked: How could Hamas not be aware that such activation would alert the Zionists? I assume the warnings were announced and read into the security council's minutes which is why those minutes were sought presumably for alteration. But Netanyahu wasn't the only person at that meeting; a roster would be very helpful as then it wouldn't only be Netanyahu that knew.

How to amplify this important news? It sems clear the minutes could provide the smoking gun evidence needed to prove guilt, the crime being the facilitation of an attack on Zionists and the subsequent crime of killing innocent Palestinians and all international aid workers of all sorts.

IMO, mirroring b's report is the best those of us with our own media outlets can do at this point, and that's what I will do.

Many at MoA have advocated very strongly that Zionists knew beforehand what was to take place on 7 October and those efforts appear to be vindicated. The dog that barked is a riff on the Sherlock Holmes story about the dog that didn’t bark that was the key indicator in that mystery. Comment as usual can be made here but IMO it would be more pertinent to make it at MoA where it’s free and simple to do. The link’s in the opening sentence. Now here’s what was published:

Oct 7 2023 - Netanyahoo Knew The Attack Was Coming - He Let It Happen On Purpose

The prime minister of the Zionist entity, Benjamin Netanyahoo, is under fire. New criminal allegations have been raised against him.

People in Netanyaho's office had 'leaked' secret reports obtained by the Israeli military intelligence from some low level Hamas leader. Before leaking the documents, which included proposals for future actions, the leakers manipulated them.

The manipulated documents appeared as 'news' on foreign websites which allowed the censored Israeli media to repeat their content. As leaked the documents claimed that Hamas leaders Yahya Sinwar, accompanied by Israelis taken hostage, intended to escape to Egypt from where he would travel to Iran.

It was pretty obvious that the claims were fake. But Netanyahoo did use them to prevent further negotiations about hostage releases.

Several people involved in the leak of the manipulated top-secret papers have since been arrested.

Another scandal is currently brewing about events which immediately happened before the October 7 incursion of Hamas into Israel.

On October 6 a significant number of Hamas fighters in Gaza activated Israeli SIM cards which would allow them to use their cell phones within Israel. Various survival systems noted this and raised alarm. Meetings were held by several security councils, including the one involving the prime minister, but no further alarm was raised (machine translation):

More than a year after the October inauguration, the political leadership has repeatedly claimed that it did not receive any warning before the attack - but a document revealed this evening (Sunday) indicates otherwise. According to the document, on the night of the attack, at 02:58 a.m., the Shin Bet issued a significant warning to a number of security and political bodies, including the NSC directly subordinate to the prime Minister.
...
The alert, which was distributed through a computerized system, included information about unusual activity in the SIM network of several Hamas brigades. The Shin Bet said the activity was unusual and could indicate the possibility of some kind of offensive activity by Hamas.
...
Despite the severity of the warning, it appears that no significant action has been taken in its wake. The NSC, for example, did not take any steps following the receipt of the information. The Israeli police did not change their activities either, as can be seen from the fact that the Nuba party in southern Israel took place as planned.

This suggests, like several other ignored warnings imply, that Netanyahoo and others involved in the decisions knew of the incoming attack but had decided to let it happen to then use the aftermath for their own political purposes.

As the details were starting to come out Netanyahoo came under fire. He had claimed that the security services had been negligent in not issuing warnings. But in reality he seems to have been the one who was informed about the incoming attack but had rejected to raise the alarm.

All the national security council discussions about the decisions in the night of October 6 to 7 are noted in its protocols. As the walls were coming in on the prime minister his immediate aides sought to alter the protocols of the relevant meetings.

But the protocols were under control of a certain high ranking military officer. To get retroactive changes applied, which would exculpate the prime minister, Netanyahoo's aides tried to blackmail the officer over an alleged relation with a subaltern woman:

Top aides to Benjamin Netanyahu are suspected of trying to blackmail an IDF officer in the military secretariat of the Prime Minister’s Office in order to modify minutes of top-level security discussions in the hours before the Hamas attack that sparked the war in Gaza, Hebrew media reported Friday.
...
Hebrew media indicated the probe was related to a July report on Ynet that Netanyahu’s former military secretary, Maj. Gen. Avi Gil, had some months before warned the attorney general of efforts to change protocols of security discussions.


Below: October 7—an inside job?


 

 


According to Channel 12, as part of the alleged attempt to change protocols, Netanyahu’s aides are thought to have used “sensitive footage” of a military secretariat officer in order to coax him into changing protocols discussions from the night of October 6-7, 2023 — hours before thousands of Hamas-led terrorists stormed southern Israel to kill some 1,200 people and take 251 hostages, sparking the war in Gaza.

Netanyahu has blamed Israel’s security forces for failure to foresee the attack, and resisted calls for a public commission of inquiry to be established into events leading up to it.

Channel 13 said Netanyahu’s aides allegedly stole compromising information about a military secretariat officer from the phone of a woman who works in the PMO. Netanyahu’s aides allegedly took her phone under the pretext that she was suspected of leaking confidential information, but are thought to have sought her personal correspondence with the officer, the report said.

The Kan public broadcaster had on Thursday reported that Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, the IDF chief of staff, had some months ago received a complaint that the PMO was holding, and making inappropriate use of, sensitive footage of an IDF officer. Channel 13 reported that an official in Netanyahu’s circle told Halevi the officer was in an inappropriate relationship with a female worker in the PMO, though an army probe determined the relationship was not an abuse of power.

It is a wild story, and a juicy tale, and several Israeli media have been digging into it. But I have yet to find any media outside of Israel, except Seymour Hersh, which have touched on the latest issue.

There were suspicions from the very beginning that Israeli authorities had knowledge about the Hamas attack on October 7 2023 before it happened but had failed to raise the alarm. Claims were made, unfortunately without any evidence, that this was done not out of negligence, but on purpose.

We now can finally say that this was indeed the case. Israeli authorities, up to the prime minister, knew that the attack was coming, but rejected to raise the alarm to an appropriate level. They let the attack happen on purpose (LIHOP).

All that followed since was, from the very beginning, part of their long-term plans.

The commentator librul ever since 7 October has advocated it was a LIHOP and has provided evidence to support his arguments. Prior to today, I wasn’t 100% convinced that it was a LIHOP. But based on the evidence I’ve read over the past thirteen months, I’m as convinced it was a LIHOP as was Pearl Harbor and 911, and who knows how many others that are precedents.


Empire, Communication and NATO Wars
Critiques of Propaganda and Pretexts for War, by Oliver Boyd-Barrett
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On Cusp of US Election, a Discussion of Potential Outcomes

by Karl Sanchez Published: November 5, 2024
written by Karl Sanchez 160+ Mins / Watch / read
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NOTE: Unknown persons or parties sabotaged (and deleted) this article when first published on 31 Oct. 2024. We are now reposting it below. Unfortunately, this type of severe, hi-tech, harassment is now almost normal for our site, and we need to spend considerable time and money repairing it. Which, we believe, is what these malefactors obviously want.

On Cusp of US Election, a Discussion of Potential Outcomes

Today's Nima, Wolff, Hudson Chat

KARL SANCHEZ
OCT 31, 2024

Professors Hudson and Wolff have discussed the upcoming US Election on several previous occasions with Nima, while this session specifically focuses on US political dynamics, issues foreign and domestic that are being completely ignored, and what the outcomes might be depending on who is declared the winner. And no, there’s no talk of the election being stolen by on side or the other or what the social response might be depending on who wins. The number of excellent ideas and insights are too many to list. Dr. Wolff carries the show because he has somewhat better insights and is able to articulate them better. Dr. Wolff provides one of the more interesting points that’s revealed at the 19:00 mark of the 80-minute podcast:

The Hegelian Moment of American Politics: Cold War Isolationism of the Other as the initial thesis has matured and become its antithesis: the isolation of the US as it’s now the Other compared with the Global Majority.

Yes, the discussion prior to that declaration is key, so don’t skip it. As with their previous chats about the election, they talk about the issues neither candidate or their party wants to discuss and would prefer to keep buried underneath the Establishment Narrative. But the discussion is also about the world since the Outlaw US Empire is certainly global. The key factor is the Empire’s declining and is thus desperate to halt that decline, which it’s doing at the expense of its vassals in Europe but also in Asia. However, the Empire’s internal nature that’s been present from its beginning is one main factor in its decline—Exceptionalism where all else are Others, even those thinking themselves allies—Kissinger’s axiom applies: It’s better to be an enemy than a friend of America.

What’s described above is only a sampling of what’s discussed. Again, it’s not aimed only at the domestic US audience but to the whole world since the Outlaw US Empire is global. Six of their previous discussions are available in transcript or podcast at this archive, with the uppermost being the most recent aside from the one reported here. I certainly highly suggest reading/viewing the others as they’re all very educational.

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Richard D. Wolff & Michael Hudson: US Next President Faces IMPOSSIBLE ODDS: Middle East & Ukraine

Dialogue Works
Streamed live on Oct 31, 2024
 
 
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Michael Hudson is President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City. He is the author of Super-Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire (Editions 1968, 2003, 2021), ‘and forgive them their debts’ (2018), J is for Junk Economics (2017), Killing the Host (2015), The Bubble and Beyond (2012), Trade, Development and Foreign Debt (1992 & 2009) and of The Myth of Aid (1971), amongst many others. ISLET engages in research regarding domestic and international finance, national income and balance-sheet accounting with regard to real estate. We also engage in the economic history of the ancient Near East. Michael acts as an economic advisor to governments worldwide including China, Iceland and Latvia on finance and tax law. He gives presentations on various topics at conferences and meetings and can be booked here. Listen to some of his many radio interviews to hear his hyperspeed analysis of the geo-political machinations of global economics. Travel costs and a per diem are appreciated. https://michael-hudson.com/

Richard D. Wolff is Professor of Economics Emeritus, University of Massachusetts, Amherst where he taught economics from 1973 to 2008. He is currently a Visiting Professor in the Graduate Program in International Affairs of the New School University, New York City. Earlier, he taught economics at Yale University (1967-1969) and at the City College of the City University of New York (1969-1973). In 1994, he was a Visiting Professor of Economics at the University of Paris (France), I (Sorbonne). Wolff was also a regular lecturer at the Brecht Forum in New York City. (https://www.rdwolff.com/about)

Richard D. Wolff & Michael Hudson | How the U.S. Took Over the World: The End of International Law!

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