The number of odd “happenings” is growing in the Baltics each day, as the specter of a broader conflict continues to haunt Europe. Each week brings new alarming signals of false flags and psyops which make it clear that provocations are constantly being prepared and trial-ballooned by Western intel agencies.

Latvia says its eastern border surveillance system is being deliberately sabotaged, with cables cut and equipment cabinets damaged along the Russian and Belarusian borders. Officials blame growing provocations backed by the "aggressor state"

— Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) September 26, 2026

Another scare was drummed up when news came that Russian FSB imposed “temporary border crossing restrictions” on two sections of the Estonian border:

Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) has imposed temporary movement restrictions in two districts across the border from Estonia.

The border directorate of the FSB’s St. Petersburg and Leningrad Oblast branch said measures would be in place in border areas of the Slantsy and Kingisepp districts from September 16–26 to “prevent violations of border and migration regulations” and “protect aquatic biological resources.”

During this period, small vessels are prohibited from traveling on the section of the Narva River between the Bolshaya Cheryomukha and Kryusha (Krivasoo) rivers.

It all sounds very perfunctory, but alas, the elites need a reason to sow fear.

In Latvia, signs leading to Moscow were effaced:

 

Moscow erased from road signs in Latvia

Unknown individuals have painted over the names of Russian cities on road signs along Latvia’s A12 highway near Rezekne. The names covered were Moscow and Ostrov, a town in the Pskov region.

The A12 is the main route from Latvia to the Russian border at Terehova, where it continues as the M9 highway to Moscow.

But the biggest events have revolved around Lithuania.

Just last week an air alert was issued in Vilnius after an alleged drone incursion. NATO fighter jets were then scrambled to shoot down the drone in what appeared to be a clear exercise meant to psychologically prime the citizens of Lithuania for the eventuality of a conflict that is much-needed for European elites.

 

"A drone that just entered Lithuanian airspace was destroyed by NATO fighter jets. I thank Allied personnel for their swift response. With Russia intensifying its aggression against Ukraine, such readiness is vital for our region. Together with our NATO Allies, Lithuania will defend its airspace," said Nausėda.

The “drone” allegedly came from Belarus and was headed toward Russia’s Kaliningrad before NATO fighter jets valiantly swooped in to save their most worthy citizens from Putin’s aerial tyranny.

Now Lithuania is trumpeting news of major evacuation plans in case of war with Russia:

 

Lithuania, together with Poland developing the international population of the escape plan, which would be applied, where appropriate, across the border to evacuate part of the Lithuanian, Latvian and Estonian population. The national crisis management centre (NKVC) director Vilmanto Vitkausko according to the, currently, together with colleagues in Poland assessed procedures, logistics and infrastructure opportunities, and the plan should be drawn up by agreement between the parties.

As is usual, however, it is Lithuania itself that is pushing the escalations. Lithuania’s parliament backed a preliminary proposal this week to remove the constitutional ban on nuclear weapons so that it could potentially host American nukes on its territory for “protection”:

 

The logic behind the move:

“We are the only country in the region that has this restriction. Latvia does not have it, Estonia does not have it, Poland does not have it, Finland has just removed it,” Kasčiūnas said.

The official state media outlet Ria Novosti published an interesting article which it quickly took down afterwards, citing that it “did not align with the editorial team’s views” or state policy of Russia:

 

Luckily, we have the internet archives:

 

The piece, however, makes a rational case for why Russia would potentially need to dismantle Lithuania. The author argues that “France and the UK no longer hide their plans to deploy [nukes] in the Russian border region” and that: “The purpose of their involvement with the Baltic states is the same as it was last decade with the Ukrainians: to create an unacceptable level of security threats on Russia’s borders, which will force Moscow to take action.”

The author goes on:

We need a suicidal country with absolutely no brains. A country whose leaders do everything they can to show off, hoping to be noticed and rewarded for their desperate bravery and Komsomol-style zeal, but who don’t give the consequences a second thought simply because they’re incapable of doing so.

The revision of the Lithuanian constitution and the lifting of the ban on deploying nuclear weapons in the country is a signal that such a useful idiot has been found. Moreover, he is convinced that he is the smartest and will be able to outsmart everyone. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda emphasizes that Vilnius does not plan to deploy nuclear weapons in the near future, but the amendments to the legislation will give it room to maneuver if international circumstances change. And then Lithuania will be able to defend itself!

A few years ago, Russia was cynically “sold” Ukraine. In other words, they created a security threat of such magnitude in its “soft underbelly” that Moscow was forced to solve this problem, wasting its energy and diverting resources from the country’s development tasks. Nuclear warheads a few hours ‘ drive from Minsk and Kaliningrad will be another commercial offer like “uncle, buy a brick”. In response to such a proposal, they either take off everything down to their underwear or go to fight.

It cannot be said that Russia has no choice at all. Russia does have a choice: how to fight. The issue is not even about whether it will be long or short. It’s clear that it will be short: due to geographical factors, a military conflict in the Baltic states cannot be the same as in Ukraine.

One can hardly find fault in his reasoning.

To build on that, Medvedev had a quite characteristic response to these Lithuanian developments:

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Beyond the bit of grandstanding, Medvedev makes quite an important realist point: that if Russia were to attack Lithuania, or any of the Baltic poodles for that matter, no one would step in to save them. That’s because, not only is NATO in general at its weakest and most fractured ever, but also that the hallowed Article Five itself is mostly illusory.

This week, head commissar of the NATO politburo Mark Rutte himself admitted that Article Five does not infact guarantee any sort of defense. He attempted his best to frame it in a way that sounds flattering, as if the “ambiguity” in the language redounds to NATO’s putative “strength”, when in reality it’s a desperate attempt to downplay the fact that Article Five was never the iron guarantee it’s made out to be:

Putin also responded to the Estonian defense minister’s statement that Estonia is “ready to kill every Russian who crosses the border.” Putin stated that the Russian Army’s size alone is 1.5+ million to the 1.3 million of the entire Estonian population:

He leaves us with another classic quote: “The circus left but the clowns stayed behind.”

The various claims that Russia is preparing to invade Europe also give us something important to ponder. The Europeans are essentially admitting that Russia must have massive reserve forces available for this task, which means that Russian losses cannot possibly be as high as they claim if Russia is able to build up these rear forces in preparation for such an invasion.

On the plus side, the German Foreign Ministry decided to meet with their Russian counterpart for the first time in close to five years—the last such dialogue took place just before the war in January, 2022.

However, the meeting was another attempt by the West to pontificate and dictate terms to Russia, as Lavrov explained:

Lavrov on his conversation with German official Wadephul:

"When we met, I invited him to lay out the purpose of his visit. He took out his notes and read a text that was a verbatim repetition of what German leaders state officially and publicly on a daily basis.
That is essentially what Mr. Wadephul told me. I gleaned nothing new from it. The subtext was something like: "I came to see you—I deigned to engage with you—so now, in return for this 'gesture of goodwill' on my part, you need to make concessions on the Ukrainian front and ensure an agreement regarding the Black Sea region so that tankers and dry-cargo ships can pass through without issues."

Lavrov went on to rightly call the European preparations for war a “self-fulfilling prophecy”:

Reportedly, during the meeting the puckish Russian FM left a copy of a Russian report titled “Heirs of Goebbels” on the table for the German Foreign Ministry to enjoy:

During his meeting with his German counterpart Wadephul Russian foriegn Minister Sergey Lavrov left copies of the Russian MFA report "Heirs of Goebbels" challenging the so called "Bucha massacre" on the table.

The German minister covered it up with his notebook.

Meanwhile, back in German FM Johann Wadephul’s home mass protests broke out over the new proposal to re-institute “voluntary” conscription in preparation for the inevitable:

 

A new law introducing voluntary military service came into force in January, with the aim of recruiting volunteers to increase the number of soldiers.

However, if the security situation worsens or if too few volunteers come forward, a form of compulsory military service could be considered by Germany’s Parliament, the Bundestag.

Under the law, all 18-year-olds in Germany are being sent a questionnaire asking if they are interested and willing to join the armed forces.

One protester, 16-year-old Elias Bernhard, from Hamburg, said that the responses to the questionnaires “show that young people do not want to join the Bundeswehr [Germany’s army]”.

A spokesperson for the Defence Ministry told the BBC that under the law, the obligation to undergo a medical examination applies "to all men liable for military service who were born after 31 December 2007".

Imagine if these protests were happening in Russia over the SMO, the West would have already declared “Putin’s regime” to be facing internal revolt and collapse.

In Estonia, the youth are likewise being prepared for things to come by being brainwashed to intensely hate Russia:

German FM Wadephul’s admission that he broke a long-standing omerta against speaking to Russia for the sake of begging Russia for concessions on things like the Black Sea grain transport for Ukraine is very telling. It is another in a long line of recent examples showing Western desperation to save Ukraine at any cost.

They couch the unfolding disaster in the framing that Russia is “stuck” and forced to somehow act out to depict Ukraine’s rapid decline as merely the result of Russian “weakness”. But we know that judging by Western politicians’ crony-like urgency of late, the situation is not as they present it.

 

NYT writes:

Ukrainian officials are calling the current Russian campaign “total war” for its focus on economic impact, rather than on narrower goals like battlefield gains or infrastructure damage. While Moscow has targeted commercial assets throughout the war, its assaults have grown significantly in scale.

Hilariously, in only the second paragraph they falsify their own article framing by admitting that Russia only began blowing up Ukraine’s economy after Ukraine started doing it first, rather than because Russia is “stuck on the battlefield”:

The intensifying Russian bombardment has followed Ukraine’s own effort to damage the Russian economy. Kyiv has used its expanding arsenal of domestically made drones to fire on Russia’s oil industry, its most valuable sector, while also targeting Russian e-commerce companies.

Oops.

It’s funny how Western rags inadvertently tie themselves into logical knots when fumbling over their own clumsy propaganda. After the above contradiction, they further state that a stalemated war turns to a battle of economic attrition. Yet they go on to admit that Russia is winning the attrition. So, if a war whose frontline has “ground to a halt” is thereby decided by economic attrition, and Russia is winning that economic attrition by a country mile, are we not to assume that the war is thus not “stalemated” at all, but is in fact being won by Russia?

They try in any way possible to torture out some convoluted logic by which Ukraine could be perceived as “not losing”, when all their own data and conjectures clearly adduce precisely the opposite.

Good ol’ Western rags and their 4-dimensional meta-logic. Ukraine is both suffering the lion’s share of losses and destruction, but somehow winning. Russia is both losing and has no men to ply a “deadlocked” battlefield, yet is ready to invade Europe from every direction with an unstoppable phantom army.

Also, if Putin’s “stuck army” is being contained and slaughtered piecemeal in Ukraine, wouldn’t a ceasefire be the most dangerous possible outcome, as it would free his “stuck soldiers” to come invade Europe? Yet it is the Europeans who are desperate to freeze the “already stuck” Russian Army along the current line of contact, and free it to potentially march elsewhere.

Things that make you go hmm. (If your IQ’s higher than your diastolic pressure, that is.)

Virtually none of the logic out of the dim-witted Euro-circus can any longer even pass the sanity test.

It truly is the case, that the circus has left but the clowns stayed behind.

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